Harding Loevner Institutional Fund Market Value

HLMEX Fund  USD 19.66  0.25  1.26%   
Harding Loevner's market value is the price at which a share of Harding Loevner trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Harding Loevner Institutional investors about its performance. Harding Loevner is trading at 19.66 as of the 11th of December 2024; that is 1.26 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 19.91.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Harding Loevner Institutional and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Harding Loevner over a given investment horizon. Check out Harding Loevner Correlation, Harding Loevner Volatility and Harding Loevner Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Harding Loevner.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Harding Loevner's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Harding Loevner is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Harding Loevner's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Harding Loevner 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Harding Loevner's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Harding Loevner.
0.00
08/19/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 3 months and 26 days
12/11/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Harding Loevner on August 19, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Harding Loevner Institutional or generate 0.0% return on investment in Harding Loevner over 480 days. Harding Loevner is related to or competes with Harding Loevner, Victory Trivalent, John Hancock, Causeway Emerging, and Mid Cap. The fund invests primarily in companies that are based in emerging and frontier markets More

Harding Loevner Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Harding Loevner's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Harding Loevner Institutional upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Harding Loevner Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Harding Loevner's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Harding Loevner's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Harding Loevner historical prices to predict the future Harding Loevner's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Harding Loevner's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.7519.6620.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.8419.7520.66
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
19.1220.0220.93
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.0119.7020.40
Details

Harding Loevner Inst Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Harding Mutual Fund to be very steady. Harding Loevner Inst holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.0441, which attests that the entity had a 0.0441% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Harding Loevner Inst, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Harding Loevner's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.144, risk adjusted performance of 0.0463, and Downside Deviation of 0.8564 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.04%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.33, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Harding Loevner's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Harding Loevner is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.32  

Below average predictability

Harding Loevner Institutional has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Harding Loevner time series from 19th of August 2023 to 15th of April 2024 and 15th of April 2024 to 11th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Harding Loevner Inst price movement. The serial correlation of 0.32 indicates that nearly 32.0% of current Harding Loevner price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.32
Spearman Rank Test0.31
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.78

Harding Loevner Inst lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Harding Loevner mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Harding Loevner's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Harding Loevner returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Harding Loevner has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Harding Loevner regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Harding Loevner mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Harding Loevner mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Harding Loevner mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Harding Loevner Lagged Returns

When evaluating Harding Loevner's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Harding Loevner mutual fund have on its future price. Harding Loevner autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Harding Loevner autocorrelation shows the relationship between Harding Loevner mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Harding Loevner Institutional.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Harding Mutual Fund

Harding Loevner financial ratios help investors to determine whether Harding Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Harding with respect to the benefits of owning Harding Loevner security.
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