Hochschild Mining (UK) Market Value

HOC Stock   213.50  1.00  0.47%   
Hochschild Mining's market value is the price at which a share of Hochschild Mining trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Hochschild Mining plc investors about its performance. Hochschild Mining is trading at 213.50 as of the 29th of November 2024, a 0.47 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 211.5.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Hochschild Mining plc and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Hochschild Mining over a given investment horizon. Check out Hochschild Mining Correlation, Hochschild Mining Volatility and Hochschild Mining Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Hochschild Mining.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Hochschild Mining's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hochschild Mining is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hochschild Mining's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Hochschild Mining 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Hochschild Mining's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Hochschild Mining.
0.00
10/30/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Hochschild Mining on October 30, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Hochschild Mining plc or generate 0.0% return on investment in Hochschild Mining over 30 days. Hochschild Mining is related to or competes with Centamin PLC, Anglo Asian, and Metals Exploration. Hochschild Mining is entity of United Kingdom More

Hochschild Mining Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Hochschild Mining's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Hochschild Mining plc upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Hochschild Mining Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Hochschild Mining's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Hochschild Mining's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Hochschild Mining historical prices to predict the future Hochschild Mining's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
209.99213.11216.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
171.06174.18234.85
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
228.39231.52234.64
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.060.080.09
Details

Hochschild Mining plc Backtested Returns

Hochschild Mining appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Hochschild Mining plc holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.12, which attests that the entity had a 0.12% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Hochschild Mining plc, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please utilize Hochschild Mining's Downside Deviation of 2.77, risk adjusted performance of 0.0976, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.99) to validate if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Hochschild Mining holds a performance score of 9. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.35, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Hochschild Mining are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Hochschild Mining is likely to outperform the market. Please check Hochschild Mining's jensen alpha, maximum drawdown, and the relationship between the coefficient of variation and sortino ratio , to make a quick decision on whether Hochschild Mining's current trending patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.43  

Average predictability

Hochschild Mining plc has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Hochschild Mining time series from 30th of October 2024 to 14th of November 2024 and 14th of November 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Hochschild Mining plc price movement. The serial correlation of 0.43 indicates that just about 43.0% of current Hochschild Mining price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.43
Spearman Rank Test-0.37
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance64.2

Hochschild Mining plc lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Hochschild Mining stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Hochschild Mining's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Hochschild Mining returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Hochschild Mining has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Hochschild Mining regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Hochschild Mining stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Hochschild Mining stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Hochschild Mining stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Hochschild Mining Lagged Returns

When evaluating Hochschild Mining's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Hochschild Mining stock have on its future price. Hochschild Mining autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Hochschild Mining autocorrelation shows the relationship between Hochschild Mining stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Hochschild Mining plc.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Hochschild Stock

Hochschild Mining financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hochschild Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hochschild with respect to the benefits of owning Hochschild Mining security.