Harbor International Compounders Fund Market Value

HSICX Fund   10.06  0.15  1.51%   
Harbor International's market value is the price at which a share of Harbor International trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Harbor International Compounders investors about its performance. Harbor International is trading at 10.06 as of the 11th of December 2024; that is 1.51 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 9.91.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Harbor International Compounders and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Harbor International over a given investment horizon. Check out Harbor International Correlation, Harbor International Volatility and Harbor International Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Harbor International.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Harbor International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Harbor International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Harbor International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Harbor International 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Harbor International's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Harbor International.
0.00
08/19/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 3 months and 26 days
12/11/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Harbor International on August 19, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Harbor International Compounders or generate 0.0% return on investment in Harbor International over 480 days. The fund invests primarily in common stock of non-U.S More

Harbor International Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Harbor International's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Harbor International Compounders upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Harbor International Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Harbor International's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Harbor International's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Harbor International historical prices to predict the future Harbor International's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Harbor International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.2110.0610.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.869.7110.56
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.5110.3611.21
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.9410.0210.10
Details

Harbor International Backtested Returns

Harbor International holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0099, which attests that the entity had a -0.0099% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Harbor International exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Harbor International's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.02), risk adjusted performance of 0.005, and Downside Deviation of 0.9171 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.18, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Harbor International's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Harbor International is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.74  

Almost perfect reverse predictability

Harbor International Compounders has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Harbor International time series from 19th of August 2023 to 15th of April 2024 and 15th of April 2024 to 11th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Harbor International price movement. The serial correlation of -0.74 indicates that around 74.0% of current Harbor International price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.74
Spearman Rank Test-0.8
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.06

Harbor International lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Harbor International mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Harbor International's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Harbor International returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Harbor International has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Harbor International regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Harbor International mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Harbor International mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Harbor International mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Harbor International Lagged Returns

When evaluating Harbor International's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Harbor International mutual fund have on its future price. Harbor International autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Harbor International autocorrelation shows the relationship between Harbor International mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Harbor International Compounders.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Harbor Mutual Fund

Harbor International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Harbor Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Harbor with respect to the benefits of owning Harbor International security.
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