Hotchkis Wiley Small Fund Market Value

HWVAX Fund  USD 14.03  0.07  0.50%   
Hotchkis Wiley's market value is the price at which a share of Hotchkis Wiley trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Hotchkis Wiley Small investors about its performance. Hotchkis Wiley is trading at 14.03 as of the 2nd of December 2024; that is 0.50% up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 13.96.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Hotchkis Wiley Small and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Hotchkis Wiley over a given investment horizon. Check out Hotchkis Wiley Correlation, Hotchkis Wiley Volatility and Hotchkis Wiley Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Hotchkis Wiley.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Hotchkis Wiley's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hotchkis Wiley is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hotchkis Wiley's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Hotchkis Wiley 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Hotchkis Wiley's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Hotchkis Wiley.
0.00
12/08/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 27 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Hotchkis Wiley on December 8, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Hotchkis Wiley Small or generate 0.0% return on investment in Hotchkis Wiley over 360 days. Hotchkis Wiley is related to or competes with Eic Value, Commonwealth Global, T Rowe, Balanced Fund, Vanguard Windsor, and Commodities Strategy. The fund normally invests at least 80 percent of its net assets plus borrowings for investment purposes in equity securi... More

Hotchkis Wiley Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Hotchkis Wiley's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Hotchkis Wiley Small upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Hotchkis Wiley Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Hotchkis Wiley's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Hotchkis Wiley's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Hotchkis Wiley historical prices to predict the future Hotchkis Wiley's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.5913.9515.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.4013.7615.12
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.6013.9615.32
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.3513.2914.24
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Hotchkis Wiley. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Hotchkis Wiley's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Hotchkis Wiley's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Hotchkis Wiley Small.

Hotchkis Wiley Small Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Hotchkis Mutual Fund to be very steady. Hotchkis Wiley Small holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.12, which attests that the entity had a 0.12% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Hotchkis Wiley Small, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Hotchkis Wiley's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0926, risk adjusted performance of 0.0793, and Downside Deviation of 1.03 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.16%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.51, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Hotchkis Wiley will likely underperform.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.16  

Very weak predictability

Hotchkis Wiley Small has very weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Hotchkis Wiley time series from 8th of December 2023 to 5th of June 2024 and 5th of June 2024 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Hotchkis Wiley Small price movement. The serial correlation of 0.16 indicates that over 16.0% of current Hotchkis Wiley price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.16
Spearman Rank Test0.19
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.33

Hotchkis Wiley Small lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Hotchkis Wiley mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Hotchkis Wiley's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Hotchkis Wiley returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Hotchkis Wiley has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Hotchkis Wiley regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Hotchkis Wiley mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Hotchkis Wiley mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Hotchkis Wiley mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Hotchkis Wiley Lagged Returns

When evaluating Hotchkis Wiley's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Hotchkis Wiley mutual fund have on its future price. Hotchkis Wiley autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Hotchkis Wiley autocorrelation shows the relationship between Hotchkis Wiley mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Hotchkis Wiley Small.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Hotchkis Mutual Fund

Hotchkis Wiley financial ratios help investors to determine whether Hotchkis Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Hotchkis with respect to the benefits of owning Hotchkis Wiley security.
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