Mainstay Epoch International Fund Market Value

ICEVX Fund  USD 40.01  0.01  0.03%   
Mainstay Epoch's market value is the price at which a share of Mainstay Epoch trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Mainstay Epoch International investors about its performance. Mainstay Epoch is trading at 40.01 as of the 9th of December 2024; that is 0.03% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 40.02.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Mainstay Epoch International and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Mainstay Epoch over a given investment horizon. Check out Mainstay Epoch Correlation, Mainstay Epoch Volatility and Mainstay Epoch Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Mainstay Epoch.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Mainstay Epoch's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mainstay Epoch is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mainstay Epoch's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Mainstay Epoch 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Mainstay Epoch's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Mainstay Epoch.
0.00
11/09/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/09/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Mainstay Epoch on November 9, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Mainstay Epoch International or generate 0.0% return on investment in Mainstay Epoch over 30 days. Mainstay Epoch is related to or competes with Mutual Of, Transamerica Asset, Qs Conservative, and Lord Abbett. The fund seeks to achieve its investment objective by investing in a portfolio consisting mostly of foreign equity secur... More

Mainstay Epoch Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Mainstay Epoch's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Mainstay Epoch International upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Mainstay Epoch Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Mainstay Epoch's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Mainstay Epoch's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Mainstay Epoch historical prices to predict the future Mainstay Epoch's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mainstay Epoch's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
39.2740.0140.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
39.5740.3141.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
40.1440.8841.62
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
38.6639.5040.34
Details

Mainstay Epoch Inter Backtested Returns

Mainstay Epoch Inter has Sharpe Ratio of -0.1, which conveys that the entity had a -0.1% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Mainstay Epoch exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Mainstay Epoch's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.09), standard deviation of 0.7359, and Mean Deviation of 0.5892 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.22, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Mainstay Epoch's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Mainstay Epoch is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.66  

Very good reverse predictability

Mainstay Epoch International has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Mainstay Epoch time series from 9th of November 2024 to 24th of November 2024 and 24th of November 2024 to 9th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Mainstay Epoch Inter price movement. The serial correlation of -0.66 indicates that around 66.0% of current Mainstay Epoch price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.66
Spearman Rank Test-0.48
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.12

Mainstay Epoch Inter lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Mainstay Epoch mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Mainstay Epoch's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Mainstay Epoch returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Mainstay Epoch has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Mainstay Epoch regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Mainstay Epoch mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Mainstay Epoch mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Mainstay Epoch mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Mainstay Epoch Lagged Returns

When evaluating Mainstay Epoch's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Mainstay Epoch mutual fund have on its future price. Mainstay Epoch autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Mainstay Epoch autocorrelation shows the relationship between Mainstay Epoch mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Mainstay Epoch International.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Mainstay Mutual Fund

Mainstay Epoch financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mainstay Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mainstay with respect to the benefits of owning Mainstay Epoch security.
Positions Ratings
Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Theme Ratings
Determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance