Innovator Msci Eafe Etf Market Value
| IJUL Etf | USD 28.28 0.08 0.28% |
| Symbol | Innovator |
The market value of Innovator MSCI EAFE is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Innovator that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Innovator MSCI's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Innovator MSCI's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Innovator MSCI's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Innovator MSCI's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Innovator MSCI's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Innovator MSCI is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Innovator MSCI's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Innovator MSCI 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Innovator MSCI's etf what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Innovator MSCI.
| 11/02/2024 |
| 12/02/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Innovator MSCI on November 2, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Innovator MSCI EAFE or generate 0.0% return on investment in Innovator MSCI over 30 days. Innovator MSCI is related to or competes with Innovator MSCI, Innovator MSCI, Innovator MSCI, Innovator Growth, and Innovator. The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in FLexible EXchange Options that reference the iShares MSCI EAFE... More
Innovator MSCI Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Innovator MSCI's etf current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Innovator MSCI EAFE upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.36) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 2.27 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.06) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.7863 |
Innovator MSCI Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Innovator MSCI's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Innovator MSCI's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Innovator MSCI historical prices to predict the future Innovator MSCI's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.08) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.1) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.15) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.21) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Innovator MSCI's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Innovator MSCI EAFE Backtested Returns
Innovator MSCI EAFE holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0778, which attests that the entity had a -0.0778% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Innovator MSCI EAFE exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Innovator MSCI's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.08), market risk adjusted performance of (0.20), and Standard Deviation of 0.5205 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The etf retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.28, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Innovator MSCI's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Innovator MSCI is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | -0.7 |
Very good reverse predictability
Innovator MSCI EAFE has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Innovator MSCI time series from 2nd of November 2024 to 17th of November 2024 and 17th of November 2024 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Innovator MSCI EAFE price movement. The serial correlation of -0.7 indicates that around 70.0% of current Innovator MSCI price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.7 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.38 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.02 |
Innovator MSCI EAFE lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Innovator MSCI etf's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Innovator MSCI's etf expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Innovator MSCI returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Innovator MSCI has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the etf is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Innovator MSCI regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Innovator MSCI etf is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Innovator MSCI etf is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Innovator MSCI etf over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Innovator MSCI Lagged Returns
When evaluating Innovator MSCI's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Innovator MSCI etf have on its future price. Innovator MSCI autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Innovator MSCI autocorrelation shows the relationship between Innovator MSCI etf current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Innovator MSCI EAFE.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Innovator MSCI technical etf analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, etf market cycles, or different charting patterns.