Inepar SA (Brazil) Market Value

INEP4 Preferred Stock  BRL 1.29  0.04  3.01%   
Inepar SA's market value is the price at which a share of Inepar SA trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Inepar SA Indstria investors about its performance. Inepar SA is selling for under 1.29 as of the 28th of November 2024; that is 3.01 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The preferred stock's lowest day price was 1.27.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Inepar SA Indstria and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Inepar SA over a given investment horizon. Check out Inepar SA Correlation, Inepar SA Volatility and Inepar SA Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Inepar SA.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Inepar SA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Inepar SA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Inepar SA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Inepar SA 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Inepar SA's preferred stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Inepar SA.
0.00
08/30/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
11/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Inepar SA on August 30, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Inepar SA Indstria or generate 0.0% return on investment in Inepar SA over 90 days. Inepar SA is related to or competes with Lupatech, Inepar SA, Eternit SA, Bombril SA, and Companhia. Indstria e Construes, an infrastructure company, provides solutions in the areas of power generation, reactive compensat... More

Inepar SA Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Inepar SA's preferred stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Inepar SA Indstria upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Inepar SA Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Inepar SA's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Inepar SA's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Inepar SA historical prices to predict the future Inepar SA's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.061.294.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.071.484.28
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.264.06
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.181.341.50
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Inepar SA. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Inepar SA's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Inepar SA's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Inepar SA Indstria.

Inepar SA Indstria Backtested Returns

Inepar SA Indstria holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.27, which attests that the entity had a -0.27% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Inepar SA Indstria exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Inepar SA's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.19), market risk adjusted performance of (1.00), and Standard Deviation of 2.76 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.71, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Inepar SA's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Inepar SA is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Inepar SA Indstria has a negative expected return of -0.75%. Please make sure to check out Inepar SA's jensen alpha, treynor ratio, and the relationship between the standard deviation and total risk alpha , to decide if Inepar SA Indstria performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.63  

Good predictability

Inepar SA Indstria has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Inepar SA time series from 30th of August 2024 to 14th of October 2024 and 14th of October 2024 to 28th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Inepar SA Indstria price movement. The serial correlation of 0.63 indicates that roughly 63.0% of current Inepar SA price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.63
Spearman Rank Test0.69
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.03

Inepar SA Indstria lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Inepar SA preferred stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Inepar SA's preferred stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Inepar SA returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Inepar SA has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the preferred stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Inepar SA regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Inepar SA preferred stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Inepar SA preferred stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Inepar SA preferred stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Inepar SA Lagged Returns

When evaluating Inepar SA's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Inepar SA preferred stock have on its future price. Inepar SA autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Inepar SA autocorrelation shows the relationship between Inepar SA preferred stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Inepar SA Indstria.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Inepar Preferred Stock Analysis

When running Inepar SA's price analysis, check to measure Inepar SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Inepar SA is operating at the current time. Most of Inepar SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Inepar SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Inepar SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Inepar SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.