Jubilee Platinum (South Africa) Market Value

JBL Stock   105.00  2.00  1.94%   
Jubilee Platinum's market value is the price at which a share of Jubilee Platinum trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Jubilee Platinum investors about its performance. Jubilee Platinum is trading at 105.00 as of the 15th of December 2024, a 1.94 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 103.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Jubilee Platinum and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Jubilee Platinum over a given investment horizon. Check out Jubilee Platinum Correlation, Jubilee Platinum Volatility and Jubilee Platinum Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Jubilee Platinum.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Jubilee Platinum's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Jubilee Platinum is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Jubilee Platinum's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Jubilee Platinum 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Jubilee Platinum's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Jubilee Platinum.
0.00
11/15/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/15/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Jubilee Platinum on November 15, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Jubilee Platinum or generate 0.0% return on investment in Jubilee Platinum over 30 days. Jubilee Platinum is related to or competes with African Rainbow, Europa Metals, and Growthpoint Properties. More

Jubilee Platinum Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Jubilee Platinum's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Jubilee Platinum upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Jubilee Platinum Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Jubilee Platinum's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Jubilee Platinum's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Jubilee Platinum historical prices to predict the future Jubilee Platinum's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
102.42105.00107.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
99.27101.85115.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
106.59109.17111.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
103.03106.40109.77
Details

Jubilee Platinum Backtested Returns

Jubilee Platinum holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.067, which attests that the entity had a -0.067% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Jubilee Platinum exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Jubilee Platinum's Standard Deviation of 2.57, market risk adjusted performance of (0.48), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.04) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.34, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Jubilee Platinum's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Jubilee Platinum is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Jubilee Platinum has a negative expected return of -0.17%. Please make sure to check out Jubilee Platinum's treynor ratio, skewness, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and value at risk , to decide if Jubilee Platinum performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.81  

Very good predictability

Jubilee Platinum has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Jubilee Platinum time series from 15th of November 2024 to 30th of November 2024 and 30th of November 2024 to 15th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Jubilee Platinum price movement. The serial correlation of 0.81 indicates that around 81.0% of current Jubilee Platinum price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.81
Spearman Rank Test0.65
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3.65

Jubilee Platinum lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Jubilee Platinum stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Jubilee Platinum's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Jubilee Platinum returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Jubilee Platinum has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Jubilee Platinum regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Jubilee Platinum stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Jubilee Platinum stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Jubilee Platinum stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Jubilee Platinum Lagged Returns

When evaluating Jubilee Platinum's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Jubilee Platinum stock have on its future price. Jubilee Platinum autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Jubilee Platinum autocorrelation shows the relationship between Jubilee Platinum stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Jubilee Platinum.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Jubilee Stock

Jubilee Platinum financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jubilee Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jubilee with respect to the benefits of owning Jubilee Platinum security.