Janus Balanced Fund Market Value

JDBRX Fund  USD 46.23  0.28  0.60%   
Janus Balanced's market value is the price at which a share of Janus Balanced trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Janus Balanced Fund investors about its performance. Janus Balanced is trading at 46.23 as of the 12th of December 2024; that is 0.6% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 46.51.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Janus Balanced Fund and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Janus Balanced over a given investment horizon. Check out Janus Balanced Correlation, Janus Balanced Volatility and Janus Balanced Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Janus Balanced.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Janus Balanced's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Janus Balanced is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Janus Balanced's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Janus Balanced 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Janus Balanced's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Janus Balanced.
0.00
05/16/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 6 months and 30 days
12/12/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Janus Balanced on May 16, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Janus Balanced Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Janus Balanced over 210 days. Janus Balanced is related to or competes with Janus Global, Janus Enterprise, Janus Forty, and Janus Overseas. The fund pursues its investment objective by normally investing 35-70 percent of its assets in equity securities and the... More

Janus Balanced Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Janus Balanced's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Janus Balanced Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Janus Balanced Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Janus Balanced's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Janus Balanced's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Janus Balanced historical prices to predict the future Janus Balanced's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
45.7346.5247.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
46.0246.8147.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
45.0945.8846.67
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
46.6147.8949.17
Details

Janus Balanced Backtested Returns

Janus Balanced holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0221, which attests that the entity had a -0.0221% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Janus Balanced exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Janus Balanced's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0091, market risk adjusted performance of 0.0081, and Downside Deviation of 1.11 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.53, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Janus Balanced's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Janus Balanced is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.53  

Modest predictability

Janus Balanced Fund has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Janus Balanced time series from 16th of May 2024 to 29th of August 2024 and 29th of August 2024 to 12th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Janus Balanced price movement. The serial correlation of 0.53 indicates that about 53.0% of current Janus Balanced price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.53
Spearman Rank Test0.46
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.52

Janus Balanced lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Janus Balanced mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Janus Balanced's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Janus Balanced returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Janus Balanced has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Janus Balanced regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Janus Balanced mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Janus Balanced mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Janus Balanced mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Janus Balanced Lagged Returns

When evaluating Janus Balanced's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Janus Balanced mutual fund have on its future price. Janus Balanced autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Janus Balanced autocorrelation shows the relationship between Janus Balanced mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Janus Balanced Fund.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Janus Mutual Fund

Janus Balanced financial ratios help investors to determine whether Janus Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Janus with respect to the benefits of owning Janus Balanced security.
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