JPP Allocation (Brazil) Market Value

JPPA11 Fund  BRL 75.69  1.50  1.94%   
JPP Allocation's market value is the price at which a share of JPP Allocation trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of JPP Allocation Mogno investors about its performance. JPP Allocation is trading at 75.69 as of the 13th of December 2024, a 1.94% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 77.19.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of JPP Allocation Mogno and determine expected loss or profit from investing in JPP Allocation over a given investment horizon. Check out JPP Allocation Correlation, JPP Allocation Volatility and JPP Allocation Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on JPP Allocation.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between JPP Allocation's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if JPP Allocation is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, JPP Allocation's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

JPP Allocation 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to JPP Allocation's fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of JPP Allocation.
0.00
05/23/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 6 months and 24 days
12/13/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in JPP Allocation on May 23, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding JPP Allocation Mogno or generate 0.0% return on investment in JPP Allocation over 570 days. JPP Allocation is related to or competes with BTG Pactual, Plano Plano, Companhia Habitasul, Telefonaktiebolaget, Cable One, British American, and Suzano SA. More

JPP Allocation Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure JPP Allocation's fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess JPP Allocation Mogno upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

JPP Allocation Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for JPP Allocation's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as JPP Allocation's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use JPP Allocation historical prices to predict the future JPP Allocation's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
74.9575.6976.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
72.5373.2783.26
Details

JPP Allocation Mogno Backtested Returns

JPP Allocation Mogno holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0944, which attests that the entity had a -0.0944% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. JPP Allocation Mogno exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out JPP Allocation's risk adjusted performance of (0.05), and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (1.17) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.0507, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, JPP Allocation's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding JPP Allocation is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.22  

Weak reverse predictability

JPP Allocation Mogno has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between JPP Allocation time series from 23rd of May 2023 to 3rd of March 2024 and 3rd of March 2024 to 13th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of JPP Allocation Mogno price movement. The serial correlation of -0.22 indicates that over 22.0% of current JPP Allocation price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.22
Spearman Rank Test0.04
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.23

JPP Allocation Mogno lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is JPP Allocation fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting JPP Allocation's fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of JPP Allocation returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that JPP Allocation has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

JPP Allocation regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If JPP Allocation fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if JPP Allocation fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in JPP Allocation fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

JPP Allocation Lagged Returns

When evaluating JPP Allocation's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of JPP Allocation fund have on its future price. JPP Allocation autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, JPP Allocation autocorrelation shows the relationship between JPP Allocation fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in JPP Allocation Mogno.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in JPP Fund

JPP Allocation financial ratios help investors to determine whether JPP Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in JPP with respect to the benefits of owning JPP Allocation security.
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