Kinea Creditas (Brazil) Market Value

KCRE11 Fund   8.11  0.01  0.12%   
Kinea Creditas' market value is the price at which a share of Kinea Creditas trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Kinea Creditas Fundo investors about its performance. Kinea Creditas is trading at 8.11 as of the 9th of December 2024, a 0.12% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 8.1.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Kinea Creditas Fundo and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Kinea Creditas over a given investment horizon. Check out Kinea Creditas Correlation, Kinea Creditas Volatility and Kinea Creditas Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Kinea Creditas.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Kinea Creditas' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kinea Creditas is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kinea Creditas' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Kinea Creditas 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Kinea Creditas' fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Kinea Creditas.
0.00
09/10/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
12/09/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Kinea Creditas on September 10, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Kinea Creditas Fundo or generate 0.0% return on investment in Kinea Creditas over 90 days. Kinea Creditas is related to or competes with Kinea Indices, Kinea Renda, and Kinea Rendimentos. More

Kinea Creditas Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Kinea Creditas' fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Kinea Creditas Fundo upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Kinea Creditas Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Kinea Creditas' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Kinea Creditas' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Kinea Creditas historical prices to predict the future Kinea Creditas' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.888.119.34
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.117.348.57
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.487.718.94
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.098.649.19
Details

Kinea Creditas Fundo Backtested Returns

Kinea Creditas Fundo has Sharpe Ratio of -0.17, which conveys that the entity had a -0.17% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Kinea Creditas exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Kinea Creditas' Mean Deviation of 0.9204, risk adjusted performance of (0.14), and Standard Deviation of 1.22 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.0989, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Kinea Creditas' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Kinea Creditas is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.40  

Average predictability

Kinea Creditas Fundo has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Kinea Creditas time series from 10th of September 2024 to 25th of October 2024 and 25th of October 2024 to 9th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Kinea Creditas Fundo price movement. The serial correlation of 0.4 indicates that just about 40.0% of current Kinea Creditas price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.4
Spearman Rank Test0.37
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.06

Kinea Creditas Fundo lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Kinea Creditas fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Kinea Creditas' fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Kinea Creditas returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Kinea Creditas has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Kinea Creditas regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Kinea Creditas fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Kinea Creditas fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Kinea Creditas fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Kinea Creditas Lagged Returns

When evaluating Kinea Creditas' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Kinea Creditas fund have on its future price. Kinea Creditas autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Kinea Creditas autocorrelation shows the relationship between Kinea Creditas fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Kinea Creditas Fundo.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Kinea Fund

Kinea Creditas financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kinea Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kinea with respect to the benefits of owning Kinea Creditas security.
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