Krungthai Card (Thailand) Market Value

KTC-R Stock  THB 48.75  1.20  2.52%   
Krungthai Card's market value is the price at which a share of Krungthai Card trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Krungthai Card Public investors about its performance. Krungthai Card is trading at 48.75 as of the 12th of December 2024, a 2.52 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 47.55.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Krungthai Card Public and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Krungthai Card over a given investment horizon. Check out Krungthai Card Correlation, Krungthai Card Volatility and Krungthai Card Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Krungthai Card.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Krungthai Card's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Krungthai Card is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Krungthai Card's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Krungthai Card 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Krungthai Card's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Krungthai Card.
0.00
11/12/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/12/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Krungthai Card on November 12, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Krungthai Card Public or generate 0.0% return on investment in Krungthai Card over 30 days. Krungthai Card is related to or competes with Srisawad Power, Muangthai Capital, Micro Leasing, and Krungthai Card. Krungthai Card Public Company Limited engages in the consumer finance business in Thailand. More

Krungthai Card Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Krungthai Card's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Krungthai Card Public upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Krungthai Card Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Krungthai Card's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Krungthai Card's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Krungthai Card historical prices to predict the future Krungthai Card's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.4448.754,924
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.7434.734,910
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.9346.73175.61
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
45.0846.9248.77
Details

Krungthai Card Public Backtested Returns

Krungthai Card is out of control given 3 months investment horizon. Krungthai Card Public has Sharpe Ratio of 0.12, which conveys that the firm had a 0.12% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have analyzed twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 14.82% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use Krungthai Card Public Mean Deviation of 0.1863, standard deviation of 0.4539, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.09 to evaluate company specific risk that cannot be diversified away. Krungthai Card holds a performance score of 9 on a scale of zero to a hundred. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.0731, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Krungthai Card are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Krungthai Card is likely to outperform the market. Use Krungthai Card Public daily balance of power, and the relationship between the skewness and day typical price , to analyze future returns on Krungthai Card Public.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.76  

Almost perfect reverse predictability

Krungthai Card Public has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Krungthai Card time series from 12th of November 2024 to 27th of November 2024 and 27th of November 2024 to 12th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Krungthai Card Public price movement. The serial correlation of -0.76 indicates that around 76.0% of current Krungthai Card price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.76
Spearman Rank Test-0.62
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.09

Krungthai Card Public lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Krungthai Card stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Krungthai Card's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Krungthai Card returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Krungthai Card has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Krungthai Card regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Krungthai Card stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Krungthai Card stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Krungthai Card stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Krungthai Card Lagged Returns

When evaluating Krungthai Card's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Krungthai Card stock have on its future price. Krungthai Card autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Krungthai Card autocorrelation shows the relationship between Krungthai Card stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Krungthai Card Public.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Krungthai Stock

Krungthai Card financial ratios help investors to determine whether Krungthai Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Krungthai with respect to the benefits of owning Krungthai Card security.