Leader Short Term Bond Fund Market Value

LCCIX Fund  USD 8.19  0.01  0.12%   
Leader Short's market value is the price at which a share of Leader Short trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Leader Short Term Bond investors about its performance. Leader Short is trading at 8.19 as of the 21st of December 2024; that is 0.12 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 8.18.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Leader Short Term Bond and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Leader Short over a given investment horizon. Check out Leader Short Correlation, Leader Short Volatility and Leader Short Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Leader Short.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Leader Short's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Leader Short is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Leader Short's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Leader Short 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Leader Short's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Leader Short.
0.00
11/21/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/21/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Leader Short on November 21, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Leader Short Term Bond or generate 0.0% return on investment in Leader Short over 30 days. Leader Short is related to or competes with Prudential Jennison, Mesirow Financial, 1919 Financial, and Transamerica Financial. The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in non-investment grade bonds which the advisor defines as securi... More

Leader Short Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Leader Short's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Leader Short Term Bond upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Leader Short Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Leader Short's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Leader Short's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Leader Short historical prices to predict the future Leader Short's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.808.198.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.377.769.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
7.708.098.48
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.138.348.55
Details

Leader Short Term Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Leader Mutual Fund to be very steady. Leader Short Term has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0263, which conveys that the entity had a 0.0263% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Leader Short, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please verify Leader Short's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0139, mean deviation of 0.1213, and Downside Deviation of 1.23 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0102%. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.0108, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Leader Short's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Leader Short is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.67  

Very good reverse predictability

Leader Short Term Bond has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Leader Short time series from 21st of November 2024 to 6th of December 2024 and 6th of December 2024 to 21st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Leader Short Term price movement. The serial correlation of -0.67 indicates that around 67.0% of current Leader Short price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.67
Spearman Rank Test-0.75
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

Leader Short Term lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Leader Short mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Leader Short's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Leader Short returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Leader Short has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Leader Short regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Leader Short mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Leader Short mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Leader Short mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Leader Short Lagged Returns

When evaluating Leader Short's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Leader Short mutual fund have on its future price. Leader Short autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Leader Short autocorrelation shows the relationship between Leader Short mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Leader Short Term Bond.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Leader Mutual Fund

Leader Short financial ratios help investors to determine whether Leader Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Leader with respect to the benefits of owning Leader Short security.
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