Loft II (Brazil) Market Value

LFTT11 Fund  BRL 9.60  0.60  6.67%   
Loft II's market value is the price at which a share of Loft II trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Loft II Fundo investors about its performance. Loft II is trading at 9.60 as of the 2nd of December 2024, a 6.67% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 9.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Loft II Fundo and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Loft II over a given investment horizon. Check out Loft II Correlation, Loft II Volatility and Loft II Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Loft II.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Loft II's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Loft II is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Loft II's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Loft II 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Loft II's fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Loft II.
0.00
09/03/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Loft II on September 3, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Loft II Fundo or generate 0.0% return on investment in Loft II over 90 days. Loft II is related to or competes with Fras Le, Western Digital, BTG Pactual, Intuitive Surgical, Procter Gamble, Cable One, and Companhia Paranaense. More

Loft II Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Loft II's fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Loft II Fundo upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Loft II Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Loft II's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Loft II's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Loft II historical prices to predict the future Loft II's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.269.6014.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.919.2514.59
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.018.3513.69
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.229.2510.27
Details

Loft II Fundo Backtested Returns

Loft II Fundo has Sharpe Ratio of -0.0928, which conveys that the entity had a -0.0928% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Loft II exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Loft II's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.08), mean deviation of 3.65, and Standard Deviation of 5.12 to check out the risk estimate we provide. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.75, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Loft II are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Loft II is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.37  

Poor reverse predictability

Loft II Fundo has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Loft II time series from 3rd of September 2024 to 18th of October 2024 and 18th of October 2024 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Loft II Fundo price movement. The serial correlation of -0.37 indicates that just about 37.0% of current Loft II price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.37
Spearman Rank Test-0.43
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.23

Loft II Fundo lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Loft II fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Loft II's fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Loft II returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Loft II has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Loft II regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Loft II fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Loft II fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Loft II fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Loft II Lagged Returns

When evaluating Loft II's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Loft II fund have on its future price. Loft II autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Loft II autocorrelation shows the relationship between Loft II fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Loft II Fundo.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Loft Fund

Loft II financial ratios help investors to determine whether Loft Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Loft with respect to the benefits of owning Loft II security.
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