Real Luck Group Stock Market Value

Real Luck's market value is the price at which a share of Real Luck trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Real Luck Group investors about its performance.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Real Luck Group and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Real Luck over a given investment horizon. Check out Real Luck Correlation, Real Luck Volatility and Real Luck Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Real Luck.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Real Luck's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Real Luck is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Real Luck's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Real Luck 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Real Luck's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Real Luck.
0.00
12/13/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Real Luck on December 13, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Real Luck Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in Real Luck over 720 days. Real Luck is related to or competes with Everi Holdings, 888 Holdings, Light Wonder, International Game, PlayAGS, Accel Entertainment, and Codere Online. Real Luck Group Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides e-sports wagering services worldwide More

Real Luck Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Real Luck's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Real Luck Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Real Luck Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Real Luck's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Real Luck's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Real Luck historical prices to predict the future Real Luck's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Real Luck's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0012.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0012.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.0000130.000612.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
-0.0010.00040
Details

Real Luck Group Backtested Returns

Real Luck Group maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.12, which implies the firm had a -0.12% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Real Luck Group exposes zero different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. The company holds a Beta of 0.0, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. the returns on MARKET and Real Luck are completely uncorrelated.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.60  

Good predictability

Real Luck Group has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Real Luck time series from 13th of December 2022 to 8th of December 2023 and 8th of December 2023 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Real Luck Group price movement. The serial correlation of 0.6 indicates that roughly 60.0% of current Real Luck price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.6
Spearman Rank Test0.74
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Real Luck Group lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Real Luck pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Real Luck's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Real Luck returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Real Luck has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Real Luck regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Real Luck pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Real Luck pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Real Luck pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Real Luck Lagged Returns

When evaluating Real Luck's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Real Luck pink sheet have on its future price. Real Luck autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Real Luck autocorrelation shows the relationship between Real Luck pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Real Luck Group.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Real Pink Sheet

Real Luck financial ratios help investors to determine whether Real Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Real with respect to the benefits of owning Real Luck security.