Madison Funds Fund Market Value
| MFSYX Fund | USD 11.66 0.09 0.77% |
| Symbol | Madison |
Madison Funds 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Madison Funds' mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Madison Funds.
| 11/13/2024 |
| 12/13/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Madison Funds on November 13, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Madison Funds or generate 0.0% return on investment in Madison Funds over 30 days. Madison Funds is related to or competes with Fidelity Advisor, 1919 Financial, Vanguard Financials, Prudential Jennison, Financials Ultrasector, and Mesirow Financial. The fund will invest primarily in common stocks of high-quality, large cap companies that the funds investment adviser, ... More
Madison Funds Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Madison Funds' mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Madison Funds upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.6345 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.05) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 3.77 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.96) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.8889 |
Madison Funds Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Madison Funds' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Madison Funds' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Madison Funds historical prices to predict the future Madison Funds' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0894 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0644 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.02) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.05) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.26 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Madison Funds' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Madison Funds Backtested Returns
At this stage we consider Madison Mutual Fund to be very steady. Madison Funds has Sharpe Ratio of 0.0582, which conveys that the entity had a 0.0582% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Madison Funds, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please verify Madison Funds' Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0894, mean deviation of 0.4963, and Downside Deviation of 0.6345 to check out if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0379%. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.0558, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Madison Funds' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Madison Funds is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | -0.47 |
Modest reverse predictability
Madison Funds has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Madison Funds time series from 13th of November 2024 to 28th of November 2024 and 28th of November 2024 to 13th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Madison Funds price movement. The serial correlation of -0.47 indicates that about 47.0% of current Madison Funds price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.47 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.35 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Madison Funds lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Madison Funds mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Madison Funds' mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Madison Funds returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Madison Funds has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Madison Funds regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Madison Funds mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Madison Funds mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Madison Funds mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Madison Funds Lagged Returns
When evaluating Madison Funds' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Madison Funds mutual fund have on its future price. Madison Funds autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Madison Funds autocorrelation shows the relationship between Madison Funds mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Madison Funds .
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Madison Mutual Fund
Madison Funds financial ratios help investors to determine whether Madison Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Madison with respect to the benefits of owning Madison Funds security.
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