IOTA Market Value

MIOTA Crypto  USD 0.27  0.01  3.57%   
IOTA's market value is the price at which a share of IOTA trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of IOTA investors about its performance. IOTA is trading at 0.27 as of the 30th of November 2024, a 3.57% down since the beginning of the trading day. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of IOTA and determine expected loss or profit from investing in IOTA over a given investment horizon. Check out IOTA Correlation, IOTA Volatility and Investing Opportunities module to complement your research on IOTA.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between IOTA's coin value and its market price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Cryptocurrency investors typically determine IOTA value by looking at such factors as its true mass adoption, usability, application, safety as well as its ability to resist fraud and manipulation. On the other hand, IOTA's price is the amount at which it trades on the cryptocurrency exchange or other digital marketplace that truly represents its supply and demand.

IOTA 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to IOTA's crypto coin what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of IOTA.
0.00
10/31/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/30/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in IOTA on October 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding IOTA or generate 0.0% return on investment in IOTA over 30 days. IOTA is related to or competes with Staked Ether, EigenLayer, BLZ, Highstreet, Tokocrypto, and DIA. IOTA is peer-to-peer digital currency powered by the Blockchain technology.

IOTA Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure IOTA's crypto coin current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess IOTA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

IOTA Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for IOTA's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as IOTA's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use IOTA historical prices to predict the future IOTA's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.266.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.196.78
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.296.88
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.150.220.29
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as IOTA. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against IOTA's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, IOTA's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in IOTA.

IOTA Backtested Returns

IOTA is unusually volatile given 3 months investment horizon. IOTA holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.22, which attests that digital coin had a 0.22% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. We were able to break down twenty-nine different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate if expected returns of 1.45% are justified by taking the suggested risk. Use IOTA market risk adjusted performance of (3.45), and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1699 to evaluate coin specific risk that cannot be diversified away. The crypto retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.4, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning IOTA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, IOTA is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.83  

Very good predictability

IOTA has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between IOTA time series from 31st of October 2024 to 15th of November 2024 and 15th of November 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of IOTA price movement. The serial correlation of 0.83 indicates that around 83.0% of current IOTA price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.83
Spearman Rank Test0.92
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

IOTA lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is IOTA crypto coin's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting IOTA's crypto coin expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of IOTA returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that IOTA has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the crypto coin is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

IOTA regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If IOTA crypto coin is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if IOTA crypto coin is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in IOTA crypto coin over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

IOTA Lagged Returns

When evaluating IOTA's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of IOTA crypto coin have on its future price. IOTA autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, IOTA autocorrelation shows the relationship between IOTA crypto coin current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in IOTA.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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When determining whether IOTA offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of IOTA's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Iota Crypto.
Check out IOTA Correlation, IOTA Volatility and Investing Opportunities module to complement your research on IOTA.
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IOTA technical crypto coin analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, crypto market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of IOTA technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of IOTA trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...