Great West E Bond Fund Market Value

MXFDX Fund  USD 9.97  0.02  0.20%   
Great-west Core's market value is the price at which a share of Great-west Core trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Great West E Bond investors about its performance. Great-west Core is trading at 9.97 as of the 3rd of December 2024; that is 0.2 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 9.99.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Great West E Bond and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Great-west Core over a given investment horizon. Check out Great-west Core Correlation, Great-west Core Volatility and Great-west Core Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Great-west Core.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Great-west Core's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Great-west Core is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Great-west Core's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Great-west Core 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Great-west Core's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Great-west Core.
0.00
12/09/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 11 months and 27 days
12/03/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Great-west Core on December 9, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Great West E Bond or generate 0.0% return on investment in Great-west Core over 360 days. Great-west Core is related to or competes with Great-west Securefoundation, Great-west Lifetime, Great-west Lifetime, Great-west Lifetime, Great-west Lifetime, Great-west Lifetime, and Great-west Moderately. The fund will invest 80 percent of its net assets in fixed income securities More

Great-west Core Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Great-west Core's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Great West E Bond upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Great-west Core Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Great-west Core's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Great-west Core's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Great-west Core historical prices to predict the future Great-west Core's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Great-west Core's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.699.9910.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.359.6510.99
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.7510.0510.35
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.869.929.98
Details

Great-west Core Backtested Returns

Great-west Core holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.0655, which attests that the entity had a -0.0655% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Great-west Core exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Great-west Core's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.3128, risk adjusted performance of (0.04), and Standard Deviation of 0.3121 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of -0.0614, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Great-west Core are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Great-west Core is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.22  

Weak reverse predictability

Great West E Bond has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Great-west Core time series from 9th of December 2023 to 6th of June 2024 and 6th of June 2024 to 3rd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Great-west Core price movement. The serial correlation of -0.22 indicates that over 22.0% of current Great-west Core price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.22
Spearman Rank Test-0.22
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.03

Great-west Core lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Great-west Core mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Great-west Core's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Great-west Core returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Great-west Core has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Great-west Core regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Great-west Core mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Great-west Core mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Great-west Core mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Great-west Core Lagged Returns

When evaluating Great-west Core's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Great-west Core mutual fund have on its future price. Great-west Core autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Great-west Core autocorrelation shows the relationship between Great-west Core mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Great West E Bond.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Great-west Mutual Fund

Great-west Core financial ratios help investors to determine whether Great-west Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Great-west with respect to the benefits of owning Great-west Core security.
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