Nel Asa Stock Market Value

NLLSY Stock  USD 8.86  0.31  3.38%   
Nel ASA's market value is the price at which a share of Nel ASA trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Nel ASA investors about its performance. Nel ASA is trading at 8.86 as of the 1st of December 2024; that is 3.38% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 9.17.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Nel ASA and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Nel ASA over a given investment horizon. Check out Nel ASA Correlation, Nel ASA Volatility and Nel ASA Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Nel ASA.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Nel ASA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Nel ASA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nel ASA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Nel ASA 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Nel ASA's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Nel ASA.
0.00
12/12/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/01/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Nel ASA on December 12, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Nel ASA or generate 0.0% return on investment in Nel ASA over 720 days. Nel ASA is related to or competes with GE Aerospace, Eaton PLC, Parker Hannifin, Illinois Tool, and Emerson Electric. Nel ASA, a hydrogen company, delivers various solutions to produce, store, and distribute hydrogen from renewable energy... More

Nel ASA Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Nel ASA's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Nel ASA upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Nel ASA Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Nel ASA's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Nel ASA's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Nel ASA historical prices to predict the future Nel ASA's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nel ASA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.688.8612.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.338.5111.69
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.468.6411.82
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.418.999.56
Details

Nel ASA Backtested Returns

Nel ASA has Sharpe Ratio of -0.24, which conveys that the firm had a -0.24% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Nel ASA exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Nel ASA's Standard Deviation of 3.18, mean deviation of 1.87, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.19) to check out the risk estimate we provide. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.19, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Nel ASA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Nel ASA is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Nel ASA has a negative expected return of -0.78%. Please make sure to verify Nel ASA's variance, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and period momentum indicator , to decide if Nel ASA performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.43  

Average predictability

Nel ASA has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Nel ASA time series from 12th of December 2022 to 7th of December 2023 and 7th of December 2023 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Nel ASA price movement. The serial correlation of 0.43 indicates that just about 43.0% of current Nel ASA price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.43
Spearman Rank Test0.35
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance7.41

Nel ASA lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Nel ASA pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Nel ASA's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Nel ASA returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Nel ASA has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Nel ASA regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Nel ASA pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Nel ASA pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Nel ASA pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Nel ASA Lagged Returns

When evaluating Nel ASA's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Nel ASA pink sheet have on its future price. Nel ASA autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Nel ASA autocorrelation shows the relationship between Nel ASA pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Nel ASA.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Nel Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Nel ASA's price analysis, check to measure Nel ASA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nel ASA is operating at the current time. Most of Nel ASA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nel ASA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nel ASA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nel ASA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.