Norstar (Israel) Market Value

NSTR Stock  ILS 1,520  40.00  2.56%   
Norstar's market value is the price at which a share of Norstar trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Norstar investors about its performance. Norstar is trading at 1520.00 as of the 13th of December 2024, a 2.56% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 1560.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Norstar and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Norstar over a given investment horizon. Check out Norstar Correlation, Norstar Volatility and Norstar Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Norstar.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Norstar's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Norstar is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Norstar's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Norstar 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Norstar's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Norstar.
0.00
06/16/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 5 months and 30 days
12/13/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Norstar on June 16, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Norstar or generate 0.0% return on investment in Norstar over 180 days. Norstar is related to or competes with Delek, Fattal 1998, Azrieli, and Melisron. Norstar Holdings Inc., through its holdings in Gazit-Globe Ltd., engages in the commercial centers business in the Unite... More

Norstar Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Norstar's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Norstar upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Norstar Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Norstar's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Norstar's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Norstar historical prices to predict the future Norstar's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,5171,5201,523
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,4111,4141,672
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1,4901,4931,496
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1,3341,4851,637
Details

Norstar Backtested Returns

Norstar appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Norstar has Sharpe Ratio of 0.27, which conveys that the firm had a 0.27% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. By analyzing Norstar's technical indicators, you can evaluate if the expected return of 0.79% is justified by implied risk. Please exercise Norstar's Mean Deviation of 1.97, risk adjusted performance of 0.2027, and Downside Deviation of 1.88 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Norstar holds a performance score of 21. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.12, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Norstar are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Norstar is likely to outperform the market. Please check Norstar's maximum drawdown, potential upside, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and value at risk , to make a quick decision on whether Norstar's current price movements will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.78  

Good predictability

Norstar has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Norstar time series from 16th of June 2024 to 14th of September 2024 and 14th of September 2024 to 13th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Norstar price movement. The serial correlation of 0.78 indicates that around 78.0% of current Norstar price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.78
Spearman Rank Test0.84
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance31.8 K

Norstar lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Norstar stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Norstar's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Norstar returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Norstar has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Norstar regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Norstar stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Norstar stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Norstar stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Norstar Lagged Returns

When evaluating Norstar's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Norstar stock have on its future price. Norstar autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Norstar autocorrelation shows the relationship between Norstar stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Norstar.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

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Other Information on Investing in Norstar Stock

Norstar financial ratios help investors to determine whether Norstar Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Norstar with respect to the benefits of owning Norstar security.