Nationwide E Plus Fund Market Value

NWCSX Fund  USD 8.99  0.02  0.22%   
Nationwide's market value is the price at which a share of Nationwide trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Nationwide E Plus investors about its performance. Nationwide is trading at 8.99 as of the 3rd of December 2024; that is 0.22 percent down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 9.01.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Nationwide E Plus and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Nationwide over a given investment horizon. Check out Nationwide Correlation, Nationwide Volatility and Nationwide Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Nationwide.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Nationwide's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Nationwide is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nationwide's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Nationwide 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Nationwide's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Nationwide.
0.00
09/04/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
12/03/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Nationwide on September 4, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Nationwide E Plus or generate 0.0% return on investment in Nationwide over 90 days. Nationwide is related to or competes with Fidelity Advisor, Goldman Sachs, Short Precious, Global Gold, James Balanced, Vy Goldman, and Gabelli Gold. The fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in fixed-income securities More

Nationwide Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Nationwide's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Nationwide E Plus upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Nationwide Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Nationwide's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Nationwide's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Nationwide historical prices to predict the future Nationwide's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nationwide's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.708.999.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.508.799.08
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.749.039.32
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.928.969.00
Details

Nationwide E Plus Backtested Returns

Nationwide E Plus has Sharpe Ratio of -0.11, which conveys that the entity had a -0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Nationwide exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please verify Nationwide's Standard Deviation of 0.293, mean deviation of 0.2211, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.05) to check out the risk estimate we provide. The fund secures a Beta (Market Risk) of -0.045, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Nationwide are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Nationwide is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.29  

Weak reverse predictability

Nationwide E Plus has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Nationwide time series from 4th of September 2024 to 19th of October 2024 and 19th of October 2024 to 3rd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Nationwide E Plus price movement. The serial correlation of -0.29 indicates that nearly 29.0% of current Nationwide price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.29
Spearman Rank Test-0.08
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Nationwide E Plus lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Nationwide mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Nationwide's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Nationwide returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Nationwide has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Nationwide regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Nationwide mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Nationwide mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Nationwide mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Nationwide Lagged Returns

When evaluating Nationwide's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Nationwide mutual fund have on its future price. Nationwide autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Nationwide autocorrelation shows the relationship between Nationwide mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Nationwide E Plus.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Nationwide Mutual Fund

Nationwide financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nationwide Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nationwide with respect to the benefits of owning Nationwide security.
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