Oceana (South Africa) Market Value

OCE Stock   6,802  2.00  0.03%   
Oceana's market value is the price at which a share of Oceana trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Oceana investors about its performance. Oceana is trading at 6802.00 as of the 4th of December 2024, a 0.03% up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 6800.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Oceana and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Oceana over a given investment horizon. Check out Oceana Correlation, Oceana Volatility and Oceana Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Oceana.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Oceana's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Oceana is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Oceana's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Oceana 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Oceana's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Oceana.
0.00
11/04/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/04/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Oceana on November 4, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Oceana or generate 0.0% return on investment in Oceana over 30 days. Oceana is related to or competes with Avi, RCL Foods, Brimstone Investment. More

Oceana Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Oceana's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Oceana upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Oceana Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Oceana's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Oceana's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Oceana historical prices to predict the future Oceana's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6,8016,8026,803
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6,7826,7837,482
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6,6206,6216,622
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6,7816,8256,869
Details

Oceana Backtested Returns

At this point, Oceana is very steady. Oceana maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.0396, which implies the firm had a 0.0396% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Oceana, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please check Oceana's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0027, coefficient of variation of 228108.39, and Semi Deviation of 0.9517 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0389%. Oceana has a performance score of 3 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company holds a Beta of -0.0149, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Oceana are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Oceana is likely to outperform the market. Oceana right now holds a risk of 0.98%. Please check Oceana sortino ratio, potential upside, and the relationship between the jensen alpha and maximum drawdown , to decide if Oceana will be following its historical price patterns.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.40  

Average predictability

Oceana has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Oceana time series from 4th of November 2024 to 19th of November 2024 and 19th of November 2024 to 4th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Oceana price movement. The serial correlation of 0.4 indicates that just about 40.0% of current Oceana price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.4
Spearman Rank Test0.41
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1895.92

Oceana lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Oceana stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Oceana's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Oceana returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Oceana has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Oceana regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Oceana stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Oceana stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Oceana stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Oceana Lagged Returns

When evaluating Oceana's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Oceana stock have on its future price. Oceana autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Oceana autocorrelation shows the relationship between Oceana stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Oceana.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Oceana Stock

Oceana financial ratios help investors to determine whether Oceana Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Oceana with respect to the benefits of owning Oceana security.