Omv Ag Pk Stock Market Value

OMVKY Stock  USD 9.86  0.01  0.10%   
OMV AG's market value is the price at which a share of OMV AG trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of OMV AG PK investors about its performance. OMV AG is trading at 9.86 as of the 14th of December 2024; that is 0.1 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 9.87.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of OMV AG PK and determine expected loss or profit from investing in OMV AG over a given investment horizon. Check out OMV AG Correlation, OMV AG Volatility and OMV AG Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on OMV AG.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between OMV AG's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if OMV AG is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, OMV AG's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

OMV AG 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to OMV AG's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of OMV AG.
0.00
11/14/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/14/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in OMV AG on November 14, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding OMV AG PK or generate 0.0% return on investment in OMV AG over 30 days. OMV AG is related to or competes with Equinor ASA, TotalEnergies, Ecopetrol, National Fuel, and Transportadora. OMV Aktiengesellschaft operates as an energy and chemicals company in Austria, Germany, Romania, Norway, New Zealand, th... More

OMV AG Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure OMV AG's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess OMV AG PK upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

OMV AG Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for OMV AG's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as OMV AG's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use OMV AG historical prices to predict the future OMV AG's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.649.8611.08
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.409.6210.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.589.8111.03
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.7910.0610.33
Details

OMV AG PK Backtested Returns

OMV AG PK maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.0259, which implies the firm had a -0.0259% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. OMV AG PK exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check OMV AG's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.01), market risk adjusted performance of 0.737, and Coefficient Of Variation of (4,125) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The company holds a Beta of -0.054, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning OMV AG are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, OMV AG is likely to outperform the market. At this point, OMV AG PK has a negative expected return of -0.0317%. Please make sure to check OMV AG's maximum drawdown and rate of daily change , to decide if OMV AG PK performance from the past will be repeated at some future point.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.14  

Insignificant predictability

OMV AG PK has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between OMV AG time series from 14th of November 2024 to 29th of November 2024 and 29th of November 2024 to 14th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of OMV AG PK price movement. The serial correlation of 0.14 indicates that less than 14.0% of current OMV AG price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.14
Spearman Rank Test0.44
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

OMV AG PK lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is OMV AG pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting OMV AG's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of OMV AG returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that OMV AG has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

OMV AG regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If OMV AG pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if OMV AG pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in OMV AG pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

OMV AG Lagged Returns

When evaluating OMV AG's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of OMV AG pink sheet have on its future price. OMV AG autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, OMV AG autocorrelation shows the relationship between OMV AG pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in OMV AG PK.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for OMV Pink Sheet Analysis

When running OMV AG's price analysis, check to measure OMV AG's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy OMV AG is operating at the current time. Most of OMV AG's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of OMV AG's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move OMV AG's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of OMV AG to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.