PepsiCo (Germany) Market Value
| PEP Stock | EUR 144.62 1.96 1.34% |
| Symbol | PepsiCo |
PepsiCo 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to PepsiCo's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of PepsiCo.
| 09/26/2024 |
| 12/25/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in PepsiCo on September 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding PepsiCo or generate 0.0% return on investment in PepsiCo over 90 days. PepsiCo is related to or competes with ADRIATIC METALS, Media, GREENX METALS, Jacquet Metal, PENN NATL, and GAMING FAC. PepsiCo, Inc. operates as a food and beverage company worldwide More
PepsiCo Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure PepsiCo's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess PepsiCo upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.12) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 6.18 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.89) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.46 |
PepsiCo Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for PepsiCo's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as PepsiCo's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use PepsiCo historical prices to predict the future PepsiCo's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.06) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.10) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.14) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.44) |
PepsiCo Backtested Returns
PepsiCo maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.0519, which implies the firm had a -0.0519% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. PepsiCo exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check PepsiCo's Variance of 1.16, risk adjusted performance of (0.06), and Coefficient Of Variation of (1,270) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The company holds a Beta of 0.21, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, PepsiCo's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding PepsiCo is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, PepsiCo has a negative expected return of -0.0555%. Please make sure to check PepsiCo's accumulation distribution, day typical price, and the relationship between the skewness and rate of daily change , to decide if PepsiCo performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.42 |
Average predictability
PepsiCo has average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between PepsiCo time series from 26th of September 2024 to 10th of November 2024 and 10th of November 2024 to 25th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of PepsiCo price movement. The serial correlation of 0.42 indicates that just about 42.0% of current PepsiCo price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.42 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.01 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 8.13 |
PepsiCo lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is PepsiCo stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting PepsiCo's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of PepsiCo returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that PepsiCo has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
PepsiCo regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If PepsiCo stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if PepsiCo stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in PepsiCo stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
PepsiCo Lagged Returns
When evaluating PepsiCo's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of PepsiCo stock have on its future price. PepsiCo autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, PepsiCo autocorrelation shows the relationship between PepsiCo stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in PepsiCo.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in PepsiCo Stock
When determining whether PepsiCo is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if PepsiCo Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Pepsico Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Pepsico Stock:Check out PepsiCo Correlation, PepsiCo Volatility and PepsiCo Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on PepsiCo. For more detail on how to invest in PepsiCo Stock please use our How to Invest in PepsiCo guide.You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
PepsiCo technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.