Dreyfus Midcap Index Fund Market Value

PESPX Fund  USD 34.41  0.02  0.06%   
Dreyfus Midcap's market value is the price at which a share of Dreyfus Midcap trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Dreyfus Midcap Index investors about its performance. Dreyfus Midcap is trading at 34.41 as of the 30th of November 2024; that is 0.06 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 34.39.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Dreyfus Midcap Index and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Dreyfus Midcap over a given investment horizon. Check out Dreyfus Midcap Correlation, Dreyfus Midcap Volatility and Dreyfus Midcap Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Dreyfus Midcap.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Dreyfus Midcap's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dreyfus Midcap is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dreyfus Midcap's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Dreyfus Midcap 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Dreyfus Midcap's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Dreyfus Midcap.
0.00
10/31/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/30/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Dreyfus Midcap on October 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Dreyfus Midcap Index or generate 0.0% return on investment in Dreyfus Midcap over 30 days. Dreyfus Midcap is related to or competes with Dreyfus Smallcap, Dreyfus Sp, Dreyfus International, Dreyfus Institutional, and Europacific Growth. To pursue its goal, the fund generally is fully invested in stocks included in the SP MidCap 400 Index and in futures wh... More

Dreyfus Midcap Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Dreyfus Midcap's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Dreyfus Midcap Index upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Dreyfus Midcap Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Dreyfus Midcap's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Dreyfus Midcap's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Dreyfus Midcap historical prices to predict the future Dreyfus Midcap's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
33.4734.4135.35
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
32.9533.8934.83
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
33.6934.6335.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
32.2533.7235.20
Details

Dreyfus Midcap Index Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Dreyfus Mutual Fund to be very steady. Dreyfus Midcap Index secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.2, which denotes the fund had a 0.2% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Dreyfus Midcap Index, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Dreyfus Midcap's Semi Deviation of 0.6464, downside deviation of 0.9145, and Mean Deviation of 0.7003 to check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.18%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.16, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Dreyfus Midcap will likely underperform.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.94  

Excellent predictability

Dreyfus Midcap Index has excellent predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Dreyfus Midcap time series from 31st of October 2024 to 15th of November 2024 and 15th of November 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Dreyfus Midcap Index price movement. The serial correlation of 0.94 indicates that approximately 94.0% of current Dreyfus Midcap price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.94
Spearman Rank Test0.73
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.54

Dreyfus Midcap Index lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Dreyfus Midcap mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Dreyfus Midcap's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Dreyfus Midcap returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Dreyfus Midcap has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Dreyfus Midcap regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Dreyfus Midcap mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Dreyfus Midcap mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Dreyfus Midcap mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Dreyfus Midcap Lagged Returns

When evaluating Dreyfus Midcap's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Dreyfus Midcap mutual fund have on its future price. Dreyfus Midcap autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Dreyfus Midcap autocorrelation shows the relationship between Dreyfus Midcap mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Dreyfus Midcap Index.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Dreyfus Mutual Fund

Dreyfus Midcap financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dreyfus Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dreyfus with respect to the benefits of owning Dreyfus Midcap security.
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