Promotora (Mexico) Market Value

PINFRAL Stock  MXN 150.00  0.92  0.62%   
Promotora's market value is the price at which a share of Promotora trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Promotora y Operadora investors about its performance. Promotora is selling for 150.00 as of the 11th of December 2024. This is a 0.62% up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 148.99.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Promotora y Operadora and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Promotora over a given investment horizon. Check out Promotora Correlation, Promotora Volatility and Promotora Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Promotora.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Promotora's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Promotora is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Promotora's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Promotora 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Promotora's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Promotora.
0.00
11/11/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/11/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Promotora on November 11, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Promotora y Operadora or generate 0.0% return on investment in Promotora over 30 days. Promotora is related to or competes with Fluor, Promotora, OPERADORA, and . V. engages in the construction, operation, maintenance, financing, and promotion of infrastructure projects in Mexico More

Promotora Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Promotora's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Promotora y Operadora upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Promotora Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Promotora's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Promotora's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Promotora historical prices to predict the future Promotora's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
147.56149.08150.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
134.17165.95167.47
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
145.27146.78148.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
138.72144.10149.48
Details

Promotora y Operadora Backtested Returns

Promotora appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Promotora y Operadora maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.29, which implies the firm had a 0.29% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Promotora y Operadora, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please evaluate Promotora's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.2188, semi deviation of 0.5493, and Coefficient Of Variation of 338.1 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Promotora holds a performance score of 22. The company holds a Beta of 0.11, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Promotora's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Promotora is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Promotora's skewness, and the relationship between the value at risk and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether Promotora's historical price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.55  

Modest predictability

Promotora y Operadora has modest predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Promotora time series from 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024 and 26th of November 2024 to 11th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Promotora y Operadora price movement. The serial correlation of 0.55 indicates that about 55.0% of current Promotora price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.55
Spearman Rank Test0.66
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance5.09

Promotora y Operadora lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Promotora stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Promotora's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Promotora returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Promotora has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Promotora regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Promotora stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Promotora stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Promotora stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Promotora Lagged Returns

When evaluating Promotora's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Promotora stock have on its future price. Promotora autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Promotora autocorrelation shows the relationship between Promotora stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Promotora y Operadora.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Promotora Stock

Promotora financial ratios help investors to determine whether Promotora Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Promotora with respect to the benefits of owning Promotora security.