Packaging Corp Of Stock Market Value

PKG Stock  USD 247.03  1.00  0.40%   
Packaging Corp's market value is the price at which a share of Packaging Corp trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Packaging Corp of investors about its performance. Packaging Corp is trading at 247.03 as of the 28th of November 2024. This is a 0.4% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 245.91.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Packaging Corp of and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Packaging Corp over a given investment horizon. Check out Packaging Corp Correlation, Packaging Corp Volatility and Packaging Corp Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Packaging Corp.
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Is Paper & Plastic Packaging Products & Materials space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Packaging Corp. If investors know Packaging will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Packaging Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Packaging Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Packaging that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Packaging Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Packaging Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Packaging Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Packaging Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Packaging Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Packaging Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Packaging Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Packaging Corp 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Packaging Corp's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Packaging Corp.
0.00
10/29/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
11/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Packaging Corp on October 29, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Packaging Corp of or generate 0.0% return on investment in Packaging Corp over 30 days. Packaging Corp is related to or competes with Avery Dennison, O I, Silgan Holdings, Sealed Air, Reynolds Consumer, Ball, and Crown Holdings. Packaging Corporation of America manufactures and sells containerboard and corrugated packaging products in the United S... More

Packaging Corp Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Packaging Corp's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Packaging Corp of upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Packaging Corp Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Packaging Corp's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Packaging Corp's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Packaging Corp historical prices to predict the future Packaging Corp's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
246.20247.38248.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
214.83216.01271.73
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
247.14248.32249.49
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
233.38241.87250.36
Details

Packaging Corp Backtested Returns

Packaging Corp appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Packaging Corp maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of 0.24, which implies the firm had a 0.24% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Packaging Corp, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please evaluate Packaging Corp's Semi Deviation of 0.3939, coefficient of variation of 423.43, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1845 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Packaging Corp holds a performance score of 18. The company holds a Beta of 0.68, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Packaging Corp's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Packaging Corp is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Packaging Corp's downside variance, day median price, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and kurtosis , to make a quick decision on whether Packaging Corp's historical price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.93  

Excellent predictability

Packaging Corp of has excellent predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Packaging Corp time series from 29th of October 2024 to 13th of November 2024 and 13th of November 2024 to 28th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Packaging Corp price movement. The serial correlation of 0.93 indicates that approximately 93.0% of current Packaging Corp price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.93
Spearman Rank Test0.78
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance22.2

Packaging Corp lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Packaging Corp stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Packaging Corp's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Packaging Corp returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Packaging Corp has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Packaging Corp regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Packaging Corp stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Packaging Corp stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Packaging Corp stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Packaging Corp Lagged Returns

When evaluating Packaging Corp's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Packaging Corp stock have on its future price. Packaging Corp autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Packaging Corp autocorrelation shows the relationship between Packaging Corp stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Packaging Corp of.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Packaging Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Packaging Corp's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Packaging Corp's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Packaging Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Packaging Corp Correlation, Packaging Corp Volatility and Packaging Corp Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Packaging Corp.
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Packaging Corp technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Packaging Corp technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Packaging Corp trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...