Pondy Oxides (India) Market Value

POCL Stock   907.65  20.00  2.16%   
Pondy Oxides' market value is the price at which a share of Pondy Oxides trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Pondy Oxides Chemicals investors about its performance. Pondy Oxides is selling for under 907.65 as of the 22nd of December 2024; that is 2.16 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 896.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Pondy Oxides Chemicals and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Pondy Oxides over a given investment horizon. Check out Pondy Oxides Correlation, Pondy Oxides Volatility and Pondy Oxides Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Pondy Oxides.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Pondy Oxides' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pondy Oxides is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pondy Oxides' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Pondy Oxides 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Pondy Oxides' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Pondy Oxides.
0.00
09/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
12/22/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Pondy Oxides on September 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Pondy Oxides Chemicals or generate 0.0% return on investment in Pondy Oxides over 90 days. Pondy Oxides is related to or competes with NMDC, Steel Authority, Embassy Office, Gujarat Narmada, Gujarat Alkalies, Indian Metals, and JTL Industries. More

Pondy Oxides Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Pondy Oxides' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Pondy Oxides Chemicals upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Pondy Oxides Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Pondy Oxides' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Pondy Oxides' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Pondy Oxides historical prices to predict the future Pondy Oxides' volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
906.46909.57912.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
899.98903.09998.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
893.24896.34899.45
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
849.32895.34941.36
Details

Pondy Oxides Chemicals Backtested Returns

Pondy Oxides Chemicals maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.0417, which implies the firm had a -0.0417% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Pondy Oxides Chemicals exposes twenty-four different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Pondy Oxides' Coefficient Of Variation of (1,656), risk adjusted performance of (0.04), and Variance of 9.44 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The company holds a Beta of 0.7, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Pondy Oxides' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Pondy Oxides is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Pondy Oxides Chemicals has a negative expected return of -0.13%. Please make sure to check Pondy Oxides' treynor ratio, value at risk, skewness, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and potential upside , to decide if Pondy Oxides Chemicals performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.02  

Virtually no predictability

Pondy Oxides Chemicals has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Pondy Oxides time series from 23rd of September 2024 to 7th of November 2024 and 7th of November 2024 to 22nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Pondy Oxides Chemicals price movement. The serial correlation of 0.02 indicates that only 2.0% of current Pondy Oxides price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.02
Spearman Rank Test-0.17
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1544.76

Pondy Oxides Chemicals lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Pondy Oxides stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Pondy Oxides' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Pondy Oxides returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Pondy Oxides has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Pondy Oxides regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Pondy Oxides stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Pondy Oxides stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Pondy Oxides stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Pondy Oxides Lagged Returns

When evaluating Pondy Oxides' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Pondy Oxides stock have on its future price. Pondy Oxides autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Pondy Oxides autocorrelation shows the relationship between Pondy Oxides stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Pondy Oxides Chemicals.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Pondy Stock Analysis

When running Pondy Oxides' price analysis, check to measure Pondy Oxides' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pondy Oxides is operating at the current time. Most of Pondy Oxides' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pondy Oxides' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pondy Oxides' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pondy Oxides to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.