Altegrisaaca Opportunistic Real Fund Market Value

RAACX Fund  USD 12.96  0.09  0.69%   
Altegrisaaca Opportunistic's market value is the price at which a share of Altegrisaaca Opportunistic trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Altegrisaaca Opportunistic Real investors about its performance. Altegrisaaca Opportunistic is trading at 12.96 as of the 14th of December 2024; that is 0.69 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 13.05.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Altegrisaaca Opportunistic Real and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Altegrisaaca Opportunistic over a given investment horizon. Check out Altegrisaaca Opportunistic Correlation, Altegrisaaca Opportunistic Volatility and Altegrisaaca Opportunistic Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Altegrisaaca Opportunistic.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Altegrisaaca Opportunistic's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Altegrisaaca Opportunistic is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Altegrisaaca Opportunistic's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Altegrisaaca Opportunistic 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Altegrisaaca Opportunistic's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Altegrisaaca Opportunistic.
0.00
12/25/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/14/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Altegrisaaca Opportunistic on December 25, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Altegrisaaca Opportunistic Real or generate 0.0% return on investment in Altegrisaaca Opportunistic over 720 days. Altegrisaaca Opportunistic is related to or competes with Altegrisaaca Opportunistic, Altegris Futures, Catalystmillburn, and Guggenheim Risk. Under normal circumstances, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in both long and short positions in e... More

Altegrisaaca Opportunistic Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Altegrisaaca Opportunistic's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Altegrisaaca Opportunistic Real upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Altegrisaaca Opportunistic Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Altegrisaaca Opportunistic's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Altegrisaaca Opportunistic's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Altegrisaaca Opportunistic historical prices to predict the future Altegrisaaca Opportunistic's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Altegrisaaca Opportunistic's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
12.1112.9613.81
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Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.1012.9513.80
Details

Altegrisaaca Opportunistic Backtested Returns

Altegrisaaca Opportunistic secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0029, which signifies that the fund had a -0.0029% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Altegrisaaca Opportunistic Real exposes twenty-seven different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Altegrisaaca Opportunistic's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0343, downside deviation of 0.8837, and Mean Deviation of 0.6804 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.63, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Altegrisaaca Opportunistic's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Altegrisaaca Opportunistic is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.43  

Modest reverse predictability

Altegrisaaca Opportunistic Real has modest reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Altegrisaaca Opportunistic time series from 25th of December 2022 to 20th of December 2023 and 20th of December 2023 to 14th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Altegrisaaca Opportunistic price movement. The serial correlation of -0.43 indicates that just about 43.0% of current Altegrisaaca Opportunistic price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.43
Spearman Rank Test-0.23
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.17

Altegrisaaca Opportunistic lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Altegrisaaca Opportunistic mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Altegrisaaca Opportunistic's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Altegrisaaca Opportunistic returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Altegrisaaca Opportunistic has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
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Altegrisaaca Opportunistic regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Altegrisaaca Opportunistic mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Altegrisaaca Opportunistic mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Altegrisaaca Opportunistic mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Altegrisaaca Opportunistic Lagged Returns

When evaluating Altegrisaaca Opportunistic's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Altegrisaaca Opportunistic mutual fund have on its future price. Altegrisaaca Opportunistic autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Altegrisaaca Opportunistic autocorrelation shows the relationship between Altegrisaaca Opportunistic mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Altegrisaaca Opportunistic Real.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Altegrisaaca Mutual Fund

Altegrisaaca Opportunistic financial ratios help investors to determine whether Altegrisaaca Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Altegrisaaca with respect to the benefits of owning Altegrisaaca Opportunistic security.
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