Rio Tinto Group Stock Market Value
| RTNTF Stock | USD 74.91 2.57 3.55% |
| Symbol | Rio |
Rio Tinto 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Rio Tinto's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Rio Tinto.
| 10/31/2024 |
| 12/30/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Rio Tinto on October 31, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Rio Tinto Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in Rio Tinto over 60 days. Rio Tinto Group engages in exploring, mining, and processing mineral resources worldwide More
Rio Tinto Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Rio Tinto's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Rio Tinto Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.08) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 13.92 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.60) | |||
| Potential Upside | 4.51 |
Rio Tinto Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Rio Tinto's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Rio Tinto's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Rio Tinto historical prices to predict the future Rio Tinto's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.04) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.16) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.23) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.7375 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Rio Tinto's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Rio Tinto Group Backtested Returns
Rio Tinto Group maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.11, which implies the firm had a -0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Rio Tinto Group exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check Rio Tinto's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.04), coefficient of variation of (1,608), and Variance of 5.97 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The company holds a Beta of -0.22, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Rio Tinto are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Rio Tinto is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Rio Tinto Group has a negative expected return of -0.27%. Please make sure to check Rio Tinto's jensen alpha, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and price action indicator , to decide if Rio Tinto Group performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.29 |
Poor predictability
Rio Tinto Group has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Rio Tinto time series from 31st of October 2024 to 30th of November 2024 and 30th of November 2024 to 30th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Rio Tinto Group price movement. The serial correlation of 0.29 indicates that nearly 29.0% of current Rio Tinto price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.29 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.56 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 2.83 |
Rio Tinto Group lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Rio Tinto pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Rio Tinto's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Rio Tinto returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Rio Tinto has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Rio Tinto regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Rio Tinto pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Rio Tinto pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Rio Tinto pink sheet over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Rio Tinto Lagged Returns
When evaluating Rio Tinto's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Rio Tinto pink sheet have on its future price. Rio Tinto autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Rio Tinto autocorrelation shows the relationship between Rio Tinto pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Rio Tinto Group.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Other Information on Investing in Rio Pink Sheet
Rio Tinto financial ratios help investors to determine whether Rio Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Rio with respect to the benefits of owning Rio Tinto security.