Schwab Treasury Obligations Fund Market Value

SCOXX Fund   1.00  0.00  0.00%   
Schwab Treasury's market value is the price at which a share of Schwab Treasury trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Schwab Treasury Obligations investors about its performance. Schwab Treasury is trading at 1.0 as of the 2nd of December 2024; that is No Change since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 1.0.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Schwab Treasury Obligations and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Schwab Treasury over a given investment horizon. Check out Schwab Treasury Correlation, Schwab Treasury Volatility and Schwab Treasury Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Schwab Treasury.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Schwab Treasury's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Schwab Treasury is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Schwab Treasury's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Schwab Treasury 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Schwab Treasury's money market fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Schwab Treasury.
0.00
12/13/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Schwab Treasury on December 13, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Schwab Treasury Obligations or generate 0.0% return on investment in Schwab Treasury over 720 days. Schwab Treasury is related to or competes with Vanguard Total, Vanguard 500, Vanguard Total, Vanguard Total, Vanguard Total, Vanguard Total, and Vanguard 500. Schwab Treasury is entity of United States More

Schwab Treasury Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Schwab Treasury's money market fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Schwab Treasury Obligations upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Schwab Treasury Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Schwab Treasury's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Schwab Treasury's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Schwab Treasury historical prices to predict the future Schwab Treasury's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Schwab Treasury's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.871.001.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.871.001.13
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.881.001.13
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.001.001.00
Details

Schwab Treasury Obli Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Schwab Money Market Fund to be not too volatile. Schwab Treasury Obli owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.12, which indicates the fund had a 0.12% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found sixteen technical indicators for Schwab Treasury Obligations, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please validate Schwab Treasury's Variance of 0.0155, risk adjusted performance of 0.0426, and Coefficient Of Variation of 812.4 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0155%. The entity has a beta of 0.0156, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Schwab Treasury's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Schwab Treasury is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.67  

Very good reverse predictability

Schwab Treasury Obligations has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Schwab Treasury time series from 13th of December 2022 to 8th of December 2023 and 8th of December 2023 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Schwab Treasury Obli price movement. The serial correlation of -0.67 indicates that around 67.0% of current Schwab Treasury price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.67
Spearman Rank Test-0.37
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

Schwab Treasury Obli lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Schwab Treasury money market fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Schwab Treasury's money market fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Schwab Treasury returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Schwab Treasury has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the money market fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Schwab Treasury regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Schwab Treasury money market fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Schwab Treasury money market fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Schwab Treasury money market fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Schwab Treasury Lagged Returns

When evaluating Schwab Treasury's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Schwab Treasury money market fund have on its future price. Schwab Treasury autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Schwab Treasury autocorrelation shows the relationship between Schwab Treasury money market fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Schwab Treasury Obligations.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Schwab Money Market Fund

Schwab Treasury financial ratios help investors to determine whether Schwab Money Market Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Schwab with respect to the benefits of owning Schwab Treasury security.
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