SGF Capital (Thailand) Market Value

SGF Stock  THB 0.25  0.01  4.17%   
SGF Capital's market value is the price at which a share of SGF Capital trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of SGF Capital Public investors about its performance. SGF Capital is selling for 0.25 as of the 13th of December 2024. This is a 4.17 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's last reported lowest price was 0.24.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of SGF Capital Public and determine expected loss or profit from investing in SGF Capital over a given investment horizon. Check out SGF Capital Correlation, SGF Capital Volatility and SGF Capital Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on SGF Capital.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between SGF Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SGF Capital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SGF Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

SGF Capital 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to SGF Capital's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of SGF Capital.
0.00
11/13/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/13/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in SGF Capital on November 13, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding SGF Capital Public or generate 0.0% return on investment in SGF Capital over 30 days. SGF Capital is related to or competes with Power Solution, RS Public, Siam Steel, RPCG Public, and Sea Oil. SGF Capital Public Company Limited provides factoring, loans, personal loans, and leasing services in Thailand More

SGF Capital Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure SGF Capital's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess SGF Capital Public upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

SGF Capital Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for SGF Capital's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as SGF Capital's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use SGF Capital historical prices to predict the future SGF Capital's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.243.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.223.18
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.263.22
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.220.270.33
Details

SGF Capital Public Backtested Returns

SGF Capital Public owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.1, which indicates the firm had a -0.1% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. SGF Capital Public exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate SGF Capital's variance of 8.71, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.07) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of -0.34, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning SGF Capital are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, SGF Capital is likely to outperform the market. At this point, SGF Capital Public has a negative expected return of -0.31%. Please make sure to validate SGF Capital's information ratio, total risk alpha, maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the jensen alpha and treynor ratio , to decide if SGF Capital Public performance from the past will be repeated in the future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.38  

Below average predictability

SGF Capital Public has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between SGF Capital time series from 13th of November 2024 to 28th of November 2024 and 28th of November 2024 to 13th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of SGF Capital Public price movement. The serial correlation of 0.38 indicates that just about 38.0% of current SGF Capital price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.38
Spearman Rank Test-0.53
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

SGF Capital Public lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is SGF Capital stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting SGF Capital's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of SGF Capital returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that SGF Capital has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

SGF Capital regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If SGF Capital stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if SGF Capital stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in SGF Capital stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

SGF Capital Lagged Returns

When evaluating SGF Capital's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of SGF Capital stock have on its future price. SGF Capital autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, SGF Capital autocorrelation shows the relationship between SGF Capital stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in SGF Capital Public.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in SGF Stock

SGF Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether SGF Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in SGF with respect to the benefits of owning SGF Capital security.