Hilton Small Midcap Opportunity Etf Market Value

SMCO Etf   27.27  0.07  0.26%   
Hilton Small's market value is the price at which a share of Hilton Small trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Hilton Small MidCap Opportunity investors about its performance. Hilton Small is selling at 27.27 as of the 30th of November 2024; that is 0.26 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The etf's open price was 27.2.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Hilton Small MidCap Opportunity and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Hilton Small over a given investment horizon. Check out Hilton Small Correlation, Hilton Small Volatility and Hilton Small Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Hilton Small.
Symbol

The market value of Hilton Small MidCap is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Hilton that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Hilton Small's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Hilton Small's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Hilton Small's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Hilton Small's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Hilton Small's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Hilton Small is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Hilton Small's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Hilton Small 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Hilton Small's etf what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Hilton Small.
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09/01/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 3 months and 1 day
11/30/2024
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If you would invest  0.00  in Hilton Small on September 1, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Hilton Small MidCap Opportunity or generate 0.0% return on investment in Hilton Small over 90 days. Hilton Small is related to or competes with IShares Small, Invesco ESG, Invesco ESG, and BlackRock Carbon. Hilton Small is entity of United States. It is traded as Etf on NASDAQ exchange. More

Hilton Small Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Hilton Small's etf current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Hilton Small MidCap Opportunity upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Hilton Small Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Hilton Small's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Hilton Small's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Hilton Small historical prices to predict the future Hilton Small's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Hilton Small's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.1427.2828.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.5429.7230.86
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
26.2227.3528.49
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
25.8426.8427.83
Details

Hilton Small MidCap Backtested Returns

As of now, Hilton Etf is very steady. Hilton Small MidCap holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.13, which attests that the entity had a 0.13% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Hilton Small MidCap, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Hilton Small's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1997, risk adjusted performance of 0.1331, and Downside Deviation of 1.29 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.15%. The etf retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.97, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Hilton Small returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Hilton Small is expected to follow.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.71  

Good predictability

Hilton Small MidCap Opportunity has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Hilton Small time series from 1st of September 2024 to 16th of October 2024 and 16th of October 2024 to 30th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Hilton Small MidCap price movement. The serial correlation of 0.71 indicates that around 71.0% of current Hilton Small price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.71
Spearman Rank Test0.6
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.7

Hilton Small MidCap lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Hilton Small etf's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Hilton Small's etf expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Hilton Small returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Hilton Small has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the etf is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Hilton Small regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Hilton Small etf is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Hilton Small etf is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Hilton Small etf over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Hilton Small Lagged Returns

When evaluating Hilton Small's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Hilton Small etf have on its future price. Hilton Small autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Hilton Small autocorrelation shows the relationship between Hilton Small etf current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Hilton Small MidCap Opportunity.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Pair Trading with Hilton Small

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Hilton Small position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Hilton Small will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Hilton Etf

  0.98VO Vanguard Mid CapPairCorr
  0.99VXF Vanguard Extended MarketPairCorr
  0.98IJH iShares Core SPPairCorr
  0.99IWR iShares Russell MidPairCorr
  0.98MDY SPDR SP MIDCAPPairCorr

Moving against Hilton Etf

  0.87ULE ProShares Ultra EuroPairCorr
  0.85VIIX VIIXPairCorr
  0.81YCL ProShares Ultra YenPairCorr
  0.79FXY Invesco CurrencySharesPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Hilton Small could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Hilton Small when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Hilton Small - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Hilton Small MidCap Opportunity to buy it.
The correlation of Hilton Small is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Hilton Small moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Hilton Small MidCap moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Hilton Small can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Hilton Small MidCap offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Hilton Small's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Hilton Small Midcap Opportunity Etf. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Hilton Small Midcap Opportunity Etf:
Check out Hilton Small Correlation, Hilton Small Volatility and Hilton Small Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Hilton Small.
You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Hilton Small technical etf analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, etf market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Hilton Small technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Hilton Small trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...