Jpmorgan Smartretirement 2040 Fund Market Value
| SMTCX Fund | USD 21.34 0.15 0.70% |
| Symbol | Jpmorgan |
Jpmorgan Smartretirement 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Jpmorgan Smartretirement's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Jpmorgan Smartretirement.
| 07/01/2024 |
| 12/28/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Jpmorgan Smartretirement on July 1, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Jpmorgan Smartretirement 2040 or generate 0.0% return on investment in Jpmorgan Smartretirement over 180 days. Jpmorgan Smartretirement is related to or competes with Jpmorgan Smartretirement, Jpmorgan Smartretirement, Jpmorgan Smartretirement, Jpmorgan Smartretirement, and Jpmorgan Smartretirement. The fund is generally intended for investors who plan to retire around the year 2040 More
Jpmorgan Smartretirement Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Jpmorgan Smartretirement's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Jpmorgan Smartretirement 2040 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.12) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 3.49 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.85) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.9017 |
Jpmorgan Smartretirement Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Jpmorgan Smartretirement's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Jpmorgan Smartretirement's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Jpmorgan Smartretirement historical prices to predict the future Jpmorgan Smartretirement's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.06) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.06) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.07) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.41) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Jpmorgan Smartretirement's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Jpmorgan Smartretirement Backtested Returns
Jpmorgan Smartretirement holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of -0.092, which attests that the entity had a -0.092% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Jpmorgan Smartretirement exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Jpmorgan Smartretirement's Standard Deviation of 0.6285, market risk adjusted performance of (0.40), and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.06) to validate the risk estimate we provide. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.13, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Jpmorgan Smartretirement's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Jpmorgan Smartretirement is expected to be smaller as well.
Auto-correlation | -0.35 |
Poor reverse predictability
Jpmorgan Smartretirement 2040 has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Jpmorgan Smartretirement time series from 1st of July 2024 to 29th of September 2024 and 29th of September 2024 to 28th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Jpmorgan Smartretirement price movement. The serial correlation of -0.35 indicates that nearly 35.0% of current Jpmorgan Smartretirement price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.35 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.24 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.12 |
Jpmorgan Smartretirement lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Jpmorgan Smartretirement mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Jpmorgan Smartretirement's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Jpmorgan Smartretirement returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Jpmorgan Smartretirement has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Jpmorgan Smartretirement regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Jpmorgan Smartretirement mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Jpmorgan Smartretirement mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Jpmorgan Smartretirement mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Jpmorgan Smartretirement Lagged Returns
When evaluating Jpmorgan Smartretirement's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Jpmorgan Smartretirement mutual fund have on its future price. Jpmorgan Smartretirement autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Jpmorgan Smartretirement autocorrelation shows the relationship between Jpmorgan Smartretirement mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Jpmorgan Smartretirement 2040.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Jpmorgan Mutual Fund
Jpmorgan Smartretirement financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jpmorgan Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jpmorgan with respect to the benefits of owning Jpmorgan Smartretirement security.
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