Santos Brasil (Brazil) Market Value

STBP3 Stock  BRL 12.92  0.09  0.69%   
Santos Brasil's market value is the price at which a share of Santos Brasil trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Santos Brasil Participaes investors about its performance. Santos Brasil is selling for under 12.92 as of the 13th of December 2024; that is 0.69% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 12.9.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Santos Brasil Participaes and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Santos Brasil over a given investment horizon. Check out Santos Brasil Correlation, Santos Brasil Volatility and Santos Brasil Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Santos Brasil.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Santos Brasil's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Santos Brasil is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Santos Brasil's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Santos Brasil 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Santos Brasil's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Santos Brasil.
0.00
12/24/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 21 days
12/13/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Santos Brasil on December 24, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Santos Brasil Participaes or generate 0.0% return on investment in Santos Brasil over 720 days. Santos Brasil is related to or competes with Lupatech, Recrusul, Fras Le, Western Digital, BTG Pactual, Plano Plano, and Companhia Habitasul. Santos Brasil Participaes S.A., through its subsidiaries, provides port container handling and logistics services in Bra... More

Santos Brasil Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Santos Brasil's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Santos Brasil Participaes upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Santos Brasil Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Santos Brasil's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Santos Brasil's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Santos Brasil historical prices to predict the future Santos Brasil's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.2012.9215.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.5313.2515.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.1112.8215.54
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.9912.9213.84
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Santos Brasil. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Santos Brasil's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Santos Brasil's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Santos Brasil Participaes.

Santos Brasil Participaes Backtested Returns

Santos Brasil Participaes owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0135, which indicates the firm had a -0.0135% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Santos Brasil Participaes exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Santos Brasil's Variance of 7.22, coefficient of variation of (108,638), and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0066 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of -0.0309, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Santos Brasil are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Santos Brasil is likely to outperform the market. At this point, Santos Brasil Participaes has a negative expected return of -0.0367%. Please make sure to validate Santos Brasil's potential upside, kurtosis, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and skewness , to decide if Santos Brasil Participaes performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.39  

Below average predictability

Santos Brasil Participaes has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Santos Brasil time series from 24th of December 2022 to 19th of December 2023 and 19th of December 2023 to 13th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Santos Brasil Participaes price movement. The serial correlation of 0.39 indicates that just about 39.0% of current Santos Brasil price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.39
Spearman Rank Test0.25
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2.58

Santos Brasil Participaes lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Santos Brasil stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Santos Brasil's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Santos Brasil returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Santos Brasil has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Santos Brasil regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Santos Brasil stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Santos Brasil stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Santos Brasil stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Santos Brasil Lagged Returns

When evaluating Santos Brasil's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Santos Brasil stock have on its future price. Santos Brasil autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Santos Brasil autocorrelation shows the relationship between Santos Brasil stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Santos Brasil Participaes.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Additional Tools for Santos Stock Analysis

When running Santos Brasil's price analysis, check to measure Santos Brasil's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Santos Brasil is operating at the current time. Most of Santos Brasil's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Santos Brasil's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Santos Brasil's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Santos Brasil to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.