Sovereign Metals (Germany) Market Value
| SVM Stock | EUR 0.48 0.01 2.13% |
| Symbol | Sovereign |
Sovereign Metals 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Sovereign Metals' stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Sovereign Metals.
| 11/01/2024 |
| 12/01/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Sovereign Metals on November 1, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Sovereign Metals Limited or generate 0.0% return on investment in Sovereign Metals over 30 days. Sovereign Metals is related to or competes with AUTO TRADER, Salesforce, Compagnie Plastic, CARSALES, FLOW TRADERS, UNIVERSAL MUSIC, and SANOK RUBBER. Sovereign Metals Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the identification, exploration, development, and a... More
Sovereign Metals Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Sovereign Metals' stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Sovereign Metals Limited upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 4.23 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0804 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 14.17 | |||
| Value At Risk | (4.76) | |||
| Potential Upside | 5.56 |
Sovereign Metals Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Sovereign Metals' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Sovereign Metals' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Sovereign Metals historical prices to predict the future Sovereign Metals' volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1001 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.3585 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.17) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.0649 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 1.18 |
Sovereign Metals Backtested Returns
Sovereign Metals appears to be abnormally volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. Sovereign Metals owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.12, which indicates the firm had a 0.12% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Sovereign Metals Limited, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please review Sovereign Metals' Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1001, coefficient of variation of 828.28, and Semi Deviation of 2.8 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Sovereign Metals holds a performance score of 9. The entity has a beta of 0.34, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Sovereign Metals' returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Sovereign Metals is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Sovereign Metals' value at risk, expected short fall, rate of daily change, as well as the relationship between the downside variance and kurtosis , to make a quick decision on whether Sovereign Metals' existing price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | -0.74 |
Almost perfect reverse predictability
Sovereign Metals Limited has almost perfect reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Sovereign Metals time series from 1st of November 2024 to 16th of November 2024 and 16th of November 2024 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Sovereign Metals price movement. The serial correlation of -0.74 indicates that around 74.0% of current Sovereign Metals price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.74 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.45 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.0 |
Sovereign Metals lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Sovereign Metals stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Sovereign Metals' stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Sovereign Metals returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Sovereign Metals has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Sovereign Metals regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Sovereign Metals stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Sovereign Metals stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Sovereign Metals stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Sovereign Metals Lagged Returns
When evaluating Sovereign Metals' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Sovereign Metals stock have on its future price. Sovereign Metals autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Sovereign Metals autocorrelation shows the relationship between Sovereign Metals stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Sovereign Metals Limited.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Other Information on Investing in Sovereign Stock
Sovereign Metals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sovereign Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sovereign with respect to the benefits of owning Sovereign Metals security.