TELES Informationstech (Germany) Market Value

TLIK Stock   0.75  0.02  2.74%   
TELES Informationstech's market value is the price at which a share of TELES Informationstech trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of TELES Informationstechnologien AG investors about its performance. TELES Informationstech is trading at 0.75 as of the 2nd of December 2024, a 2.74 percent increase since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 0.71.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of TELES Informationstechnologien AG and determine expected loss or profit from investing in TELES Informationstech over a given investment horizon. Check out TELES Informationstech Correlation, TELES Informationstech Volatility and TELES Informationstech Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on TELES Informationstech.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between TELES Informationstech's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if TELES Informationstech is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, TELES Informationstech's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

TELES Informationstech 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to TELES Informationstech's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of TELES Informationstech.
0.00
09/03/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
12/02/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in TELES Informationstech on September 3, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding TELES Informationstechnologien AG or generate 0.0% return on investment in TELES Informationstech over 90 days. TELES Informationstech is related to or competes with BOSTON BEER, Monster Beverage, Tsingtao Brewery, MOLSON COORS, THAI BEVERAGE, and HF FOODS. More

TELES Informationstech Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure TELES Informationstech's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess TELES Informationstechnologien AG upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

TELES Informationstech Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for TELES Informationstech's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as TELES Informationstech's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use TELES Informationstech historical prices to predict the future TELES Informationstech's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.040.753.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.663.23
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.020.813.38
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.660.760.86
Details

TELES Informationstech Backtested Returns

TELES Informationstech owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.14, which indicates the firm had a -0.14% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. TELES Informationstechnologien AG exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate TELES Informationstech's variance of 6.88, and Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.09) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.21, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, TELES Informationstech's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding TELES Informationstech is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, TELES Informationstech has a negative expected return of -0.36%. Please make sure to validate TELES Informationstech's value at risk, skewness, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and potential upside , to decide if TELES Informationstech performance from the past will be repeated at future time.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.11  

Insignificant predictability

TELES Informationstechnologien AG has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between TELES Informationstech time series from 3rd of September 2024 to 18th of October 2024 and 18th of October 2024 to 2nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of TELES Informationstech price movement. The serial correlation of 0.11 indicates that less than 11.0% of current TELES Informationstech price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.11
Spearman Rank Test0.0
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.01

TELES Informationstech lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is TELES Informationstech stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting TELES Informationstech's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of TELES Informationstech returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that TELES Informationstech has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

TELES Informationstech regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If TELES Informationstech stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if TELES Informationstech stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in TELES Informationstech stock over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

TELES Informationstech Lagged Returns

When evaluating TELES Informationstech's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of TELES Informationstech stock have on its future price. TELES Informationstech autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, TELES Informationstech autocorrelation shows the relationship between TELES Informationstech stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in TELES Informationstechnologien AG.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in TELES Stock

TELES Informationstech financial ratios help investors to determine whether TELES Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TELES with respect to the benefits of owning TELES Informationstech security.