Thornburg Value Fund Market Value

TVIFX Fund  USD 84.67  0.26  0.31%   
Thornburg Value's market value is the price at which a share of Thornburg Value trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Thornburg Value Fund investors about its performance. Thornburg Value is trading at 84.67 as of the 24th of December 2024; that is 0.31 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 84.93.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Thornburg Value Fund and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Thornburg Value over a given investment horizon. Check out Thornburg Value Correlation, Thornburg Value Volatility and Thornburg Value Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Thornburg Value.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Thornburg Value's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Thornburg Value is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Thornburg Value's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Thornburg Value 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Thornburg Value's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Thornburg Value.
0.00
11/24/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/24/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Thornburg Value on November 24, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Thornburg Value Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Thornburg Value over 30 days. Thornburg Value is related to or competes with Thornburg Value, Thornburg Value, Thornburg International, Thornburg International, Thornburg International, Thornburg International, and Thornburg. Under normal conditions, the fund invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in small- and mid-capitalization compani... More

Thornburg Value Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Thornburg Value's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Thornburg Value Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Thornburg Value Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Thornburg Value's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Thornburg Value's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Thornburg Value historical prices to predict the future Thornburg Value's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
83.5084.6785.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
83.7184.8886.05
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Thornburg Value. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Thornburg Value's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Thornburg Value's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Thornburg Value.

Thornburg Value Backtested Returns

At this stage we consider Thornburg Mutual Fund to be very steady. Thornburg Value owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0654, which indicates the fund had a 0.0654% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Thornburg Value Fund, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please validate Thornburg Value's Coefficient Of Variation of 1626.46, semi deviation of 0.9896, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0519 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0768%. The entity has a beta of 1.27, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Thornburg Value will likely underperform.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.10  

Insignificant predictability

Thornburg Value Fund has insignificant predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Thornburg Value time series from 24th of November 2024 to 9th of December 2024 and 9th of December 2024 to 24th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Thornburg Value price movement. The serial correlation of 0.1 indicates that less than 10.0% of current Thornburg Value price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.1
Spearman Rank Test-0.08
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance4.19

Thornburg Value lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Thornburg Value mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Thornburg Value's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Thornburg Value returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Thornburg Value has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Thornburg Value regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Thornburg Value mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Thornburg Value mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Thornburg Value mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Thornburg Value Lagged Returns

When evaluating Thornburg Value's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Thornburg Value mutual fund have on its future price. Thornburg Value autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Thornburg Value autocorrelation shows the relationship between Thornburg Value mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Thornburg Value Fund.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Other Information on Investing in Thornburg Mutual Fund

Thornburg Value financial ratios help investors to determine whether Thornburg Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Thornburg with respect to the benefits of owning Thornburg Value security.
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