AETNA INC NEW Market Value

00817YAG3   106.40  3.43  3.12%   
AETNA's market value is the price at which a share of AETNA trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of AETNA INC NEW investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of AETNA INC NEW and determine expected loss or profit from investing in AETNA over a given investment horizon.
Check out AETNA Correlation, AETNA Volatility and AETNA Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on AETNA.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between AETNA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AETNA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AETNA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

AETNA 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to AETNA's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of AETNA.
0.00
09/04/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 31 days
12/03/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in AETNA on September 4, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding AETNA INC NEW or generate 0.0% return on investment in AETNA over 90 days. AETNA is related to or competes with RBC Bearings, Emerson Electric, Turning Point, Universal, RLX Technology, Hurco Companies, and Diageo PLC. More

AETNA Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure AETNA's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess AETNA INC NEW upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

AETNA Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for AETNA's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as AETNA's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use AETNA historical prices to predict the future AETNA's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
105.04106.40107.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
101.05102.41117.04
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
106.22107.58108.94
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
106.37108.75111.12
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as AETNA. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against AETNA's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, AETNA's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in AETNA INC NEW.

AETNA INC NEW Backtested Returns

AETNA INC NEW secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.0639, which signifies that the bond had a -0.0639% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. AETNA INC NEW exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm AETNA's risk adjusted performance of (0.01), and Mean Deviation of 1.35 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.0373, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, AETNA's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding AETNA is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.06  

Virtually no predictability

AETNA INC NEW has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between AETNA time series from 4th of September 2024 to 19th of October 2024 and 19th of October 2024 to 3rd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of AETNA INC NEW price movement. The serial correlation of 0.06 indicates that barely 6.0% of current AETNA price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.06
Spearman Rank Test0.61
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance4.06

AETNA INC NEW lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is AETNA bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting AETNA's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of AETNA returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that AETNA has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

AETNA regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If AETNA bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if AETNA bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in AETNA bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

AETNA Lagged Returns

When evaluating AETNA's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of AETNA bond have on its future price. AETNA autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, AETNA autocorrelation shows the relationship between AETNA bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in AETNA INC NEW.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in AETNA Bond

AETNA financial ratios help investors to determine whether AETNA Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AETNA with respect to the benefits of owning AETNA security.