ATMOS ENERGY P Market Value

049560AK1   97.99  2.53  2.52%   
ATMOS's market value is the price at which a share of ATMOS trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of ATMOS ENERGY P investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of ATMOS ENERGY P and determine expected loss or profit from investing in ATMOS over a given investment horizon.
Check out ATMOS Correlation, ATMOS Volatility and ATMOS Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on ATMOS.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between ATMOS's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ATMOS is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ATMOS's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

ATMOS 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to ATMOS's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of ATMOS.
0.00
11/20/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/20/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in ATMOS on November 20, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding ATMOS ENERGY P or generate 0.0% return on investment in ATMOS over 30 days. ATMOS is related to or competes with Cedar Realty, Gap,, PVH Corp, Zumiez, Lululemon Athletica, and Citi Trends. More

ATMOS Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure ATMOS's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess ATMOS ENERGY P upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

ATMOS Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for ATMOS's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as ATMOS's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use ATMOS historical prices to predict the future ATMOS's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
96.9497.9999.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
82.6483.69107.79
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
93.9394.9996.04
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
97.20102.02106.84
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ATMOS. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ATMOS's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, ATMOS's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ATMOS ENERGY P.

ATMOS ENERGY P Backtested Returns

ATMOS ENERGY P secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.28, which signifies that the bond had a -0.28% return per unit of return volatility over the last 3 months. ATMOS ENERGY P exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm ATMOS's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.05), coefficient of variation of (1,635), and Mean Deviation of 0.7054 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.088, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, ATMOS's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding ATMOS is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.91  

Near perfect reversele predictability

ATMOS ENERGY P has near perfect reversele predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between ATMOS time series from 20th of November 2024 to 5th of December 2024 and 5th of December 2024 to 20th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of ATMOS ENERGY P price movement. The serial correlation of -0.91 indicates that approximately 91.0% of current ATMOS price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.91
Spearman Rank Test-0.8
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.38

ATMOS ENERGY P lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is ATMOS bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting ATMOS's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of ATMOS returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that ATMOS has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

ATMOS regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If ATMOS bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if ATMOS bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in ATMOS bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

ATMOS Lagged Returns

When evaluating ATMOS's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of ATMOS bond have on its future price. ATMOS autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, ATMOS autocorrelation shows the relationship between ATMOS bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in ATMOS ENERGY P.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in ATMOS Bond

ATMOS financial ratios help investors to determine whether ATMOS Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ATMOS with respect to the benefits of owning ATMOS security.