COVANTA HLDG P Market Value

22282EAJ1   80.35  12.03  13.02%   
COVANTA's market value is the price at which a share of COVANTA trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of COVANTA HLDG P investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of COVANTA HLDG P and determine expected loss or profit from investing in COVANTA over a given investment horizon.
Check out COVANTA Correlation, COVANTA Volatility and COVANTA Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on COVANTA.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between COVANTA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if COVANTA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, COVANTA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

COVANTA 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to COVANTA's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of COVANTA.
0.00
07/08/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 5 months and 24 days
12/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in COVANTA on July 8, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding COVANTA HLDG P or generate 0.0% return on investment in COVANTA over 540 days. COVANTA is related to or competes with Corporacion America, Teleflex Incorporated, EnVVeno Medical, Amgen, Xponential Fitness, and Alaska Air. More

COVANTA Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure COVANTA's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess COVANTA HLDG P upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

COVANTA Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for COVANTA's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as COVANTA's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use COVANTA historical prices to predict the future COVANTA's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
78.6380.3582.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
68.7970.5188.39
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as COVANTA. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against COVANTA's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, COVANTA's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in COVANTA HLDG P.

COVANTA HLDG P Backtested Returns

COVANTA HLDG P secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.14, which signifies that the bond had a -0.14% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. COVANTA HLDG P exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm COVANTA's risk adjusted performance of (0.11), and Mean Deviation of 0.6387 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.13, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning COVANTA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, COVANTA is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.08  

Virtually no predictability

COVANTA HLDG P has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between COVANTA time series from 8th of July 2023 to 3rd of April 2024 and 3rd of April 2024 to 29th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of COVANTA HLDG P price movement. The serial correlation of 0.08 indicates that barely 8.0% of current COVANTA price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.08
Spearman Rank Test0.2
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance5.6

COVANTA HLDG P lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is COVANTA bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting COVANTA's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of COVANTA returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that COVANTA has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

COVANTA regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If COVANTA bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if COVANTA bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in COVANTA bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

COVANTA Lagged Returns

When evaluating COVANTA's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of COVANTA bond have on its future price. COVANTA autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, COVANTA autocorrelation shows the relationship between COVANTA bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in COVANTA HLDG P.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in COVANTA Bond

COVANTA financial ratios help investors to determine whether COVANTA Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in COVANTA with respect to the benefits of owning COVANTA security.