DTE 325 01 APR 51 Market Value

23338VAP1   66.32  5.33  7.44%   
23338VAP1's market value is the price at which a share of 23338VAP1 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of DTE 325 01 APR 51 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of DTE 325 01 APR 51 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 23338VAP1 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 23338VAP1 Correlation, 23338VAP1 Volatility and 23338VAP1 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 23338VAP1.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 23338VAP1's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 23338VAP1 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 23338VAP1's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

23338VAP1 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 23338VAP1's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 23338VAP1.
0.00
11/01/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/01/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 23338VAP1 on November 1, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding DTE 325 01 APR 51 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 23338VAP1 over 30 days. 23338VAP1 is related to or competes with National Beverage, Fomento Economico, Constellation Brands, Vodka Brands, Treasury Wine, and Ultra Clean. More

23338VAP1 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 23338VAP1's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess DTE 325 01 APR 51 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

23338VAP1 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 23338VAP1's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 23338VAP1's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 23338VAP1 historical prices to predict the future 23338VAP1's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
64.8066.3267.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
63.6165.1366.65
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
64.2465.7667.27
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
64.8269.1073.38
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 23338VAP1. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 23338VAP1's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 23338VAP1's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in DTE 325 01.

DTE 325 01 Backtested Returns

DTE 325 01 secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.13, which signifies that the bond had a -0.13% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. DTE 325 01 APR 51 exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 23338VAP1's Standard Deviation of 1.84, mean deviation of 1.15, and Information Ratio of (0.10) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.16, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, 23338VAP1's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 23338VAP1 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.62  

Good predictability

DTE 325 01 APR 51 has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 23338VAP1 time series from 1st of November 2024 to 16th of November 2024 and 16th of November 2024 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of DTE 325 01 price movement. The serial correlation of 0.62 indicates that roughly 62.0% of current 23338VAP1 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.62
Spearman Rank Test-0.09
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance3.63

DTE 325 01 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 23338VAP1 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 23338VAP1's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 23338VAP1 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 23338VAP1 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

23338VAP1 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 23338VAP1 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 23338VAP1 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 23338VAP1 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

23338VAP1 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 23338VAP1's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 23338VAP1 bond have on its future price. 23338VAP1 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 23338VAP1 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 23338VAP1 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in DTE 325 01 APR 51.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 23338VAP1 Bond

23338VAP1 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 23338VAP1 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 23338VAP1 with respect to the benefits of owning 23338VAP1 security.