US31620MBV72 Market Value

31620MBV7   98.18  1.60  1.60%   
31620MBV7's market value is the price at which a share of 31620MBV7 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of US31620MBV72 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of US31620MBV72 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 31620MBV7 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 31620MBV7 Correlation, 31620MBV7 Volatility and 31620MBV7 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 31620MBV7.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 31620MBV7's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 31620MBV7 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 31620MBV7's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

31620MBV7 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 31620MBV7's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 31620MBV7.
0.00
11/01/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/01/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 31620MBV7 on November 1, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding US31620MBV72 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 31620MBV7 over 30 days. 31620MBV7 is related to or competes with BorgWarner, Gap,, Brunswick, Wabash National, Thor Industries, American Axle, and Dana. More

31620MBV7 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 31620MBV7's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess US31620MBV72 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

31620MBV7 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 31620MBV7's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 31620MBV7's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 31620MBV7 historical prices to predict the future 31620MBV7's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
97.6898.1898.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
85.2485.74108.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 31620MBV7. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 31620MBV7's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 31620MBV7's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in US31620MBV72.

US31620MBV72 Backtested Returns

US31620MBV72 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0602, which signifies that the bond had a -0.0602% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. 31620MBV7 exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 31620MBV7's Coefficient Of Variation of (2,688), risk adjusted performance of (0.03), and Variance of 0.3374 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.0685, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 31620MBV7 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 31620MBV7 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.24  

Weak reverse predictability

US31620MBV72 has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 31620MBV7 time series from 1st of November 2024 to 16th of November 2024 and 16th of November 2024 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of US31620MBV72 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.24 indicates that over 24.0% of current 31620MBV7 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.24
Spearman Rank Test-0.06
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.44

US31620MBV72 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 31620MBV7 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 31620MBV7's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 31620MBV7 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 31620MBV7 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

31620MBV7 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 31620MBV7 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 31620MBV7 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 31620MBV7 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

31620MBV7 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 31620MBV7's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 31620MBV7 bond have on its future price. 31620MBV7 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 31620MBV7 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 31620MBV7 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in US31620MBV72.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 31620MBV7 Bond

31620MBV7 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 31620MBV7 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 31620MBV7 with respect to the benefits of owning 31620MBV7 security.