KMB 2 02 NOV 31 Market Value

494368CD3   84.02  1.26  1.48%   
494368CD3's market value is the price at which a share of 494368CD3 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of KMB 2 02 NOV 31 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of KMB 2 02 NOV 31 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 494368CD3 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 494368CD3 Correlation, 494368CD3 Volatility and 494368CD3 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 494368CD3.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 494368CD3's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 494368CD3 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 494368CD3's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

494368CD3 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 494368CD3's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 494368CD3.
0.00
11/14/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/14/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 494368CD3 on November 14, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding KMB 2 02 NOV 31 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 494368CD3 over 30 days. 494368CD3 is related to or competes with Perseus Mining, Insteel Industries, Dave Busters, Timken, European Wax, and Weyco. More

494368CD3 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 494368CD3's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess KMB 2 02 NOV 31 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

494368CD3 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 494368CD3's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 494368CD3's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 494368CD3 historical prices to predict the future 494368CD3's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
83.5684.0284.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
67.7168.1792.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
81.6182.0782.53
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
82.4784.8287.16
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 494368CD3. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 494368CD3's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 494368CD3's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in 494368CD3.

494368CD3 Backtested Returns

494368CD3 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.17, which signifies that the bond had a -0.17% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. 494368CD3 exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 494368CD3's Mean Deviation of 0.5226, information ratio of (0.17), and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.929 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.0843, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 494368CD3 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 494368CD3 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.88  

Excellent reverse predictability

KMB 2 02 NOV 31 has excellent reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 494368CD3 time series from 14th of November 2024 to 29th of November 2024 and 29th of November 2024 to 14th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of 494368CD3 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.88 indicates that approximately 88.0% of current 494368CD3 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.88
Spearman Rank Test-0.14
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.11

494368CD3 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 494368CD3 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 494368CD3's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 494368CD3 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 494368CD3 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

494368CD3 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 494368CD3 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 494368CD3 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 494368CD3 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

494368CD3 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 494368CD3's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 494368CD3 bond have on its future price. 494368CD3 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 494368CD3 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 494368CD3 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in KMB 2 02 NOV 31.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 494368CD3 Bond

494368CD3 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 494368CD3 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 494368CD3 with respect to the benefits of owning 494368CD3 security.