US55617LAR33 Market Value

55617LAR3   95.93  2.04  2.17%   
55617LAR3's market value is the price at which a share of 55617LAR3 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of US55617LAR33 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of US55617LAR33 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 55617LAR3 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 55617LAR3 Correlation, 55617LAR3 Volatility and 55617LAR3 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 55617LAR3.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 55617LAR3's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 55617LAR3 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 55617LAR3's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

55617LAR3 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 55617LAR3's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 55617LAR3.
0.00
11/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 55617LAR3 on November 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding US55617LAR33 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 55617LAR3 over 30 days. 55617LAR3 is related to or competes with Forsys Metals, Century Aluminum, Enersys, Barrick Gold, and Electrovaya Common. More

55617LAR3 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 55617LAR3's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess US55617LAR33 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

55617LAR3 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 55617LAR3's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 55617LAR3's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 55617LAR3 historical prices to predict the future 55617LAR3's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
95.4395.9396.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
77.1577.65105.52
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
96.4396.9397.43
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
89.1894.5699.94
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 55617LAR3. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 55617LAR3's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 55617LAR3's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in US55617LAR33.

US55617LAR33 Backtested Returns

US55617LAR33 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.036, which signifies that the bond had a -0.036% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. 55617LAR3 exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 55617LAR3's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0023, coefficient of variation of (22,608), and Variance of 3.59 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.11, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 55617LAR3 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 55617LAR3 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.08  

Very weak reverse predictability

US55617LAR33 has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 55617LAR3 time series from 23rd of November 2024 to 8th of December 2024 and 8th of December 2024 to 23rd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of US55617LAR33 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.08 indicates that barely 8.0% of current 55617LAR3 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.08
Spearman Rank Test-0.22
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.21

US55617LAR33 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 55617LAR3 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 55617LAR3's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 55617LAR3 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 55617LAR3 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

55617LAR3 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 55617LAR3 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 55617LAR3 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 55617LAR3 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

55617LAR3 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 55617LAR3's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 55617LAR3 bond have on its future price. 55617LAR3 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 55617LAR3 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 55617LAR3 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in US55617LAR33.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 55617LAR3 Bond

55617LAR3 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 55617LAR3 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 55617LAR3 with respect to the benefits of owning 55617LAR3 security.