NAB 4891583 12 JAN 25 Market Value

6325C0EA5   98.63  0.00  0.00%   
6325C0EA5's market value is the price at which a share of 6325C0EA5 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of NAB 4891583 12 JAN 25 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of NAB 4891583 12 JAN 25 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 6325C0EA5 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 6325C0EA5 Correlation, 6325C0EA5 Volatility and 6325C0EA5 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 6325C0EA5.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 6325C0EA5's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 6325C0EA5 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 6325C0EA5's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

6325C0EA5 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 6325C0EA5's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 6325C0EA5.
0.00
11/20/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
12/20/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 6325C0EA5 on November 20, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding NAB 4891583 12 JAN 25 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 6325C0EA5 over 30 days. 6325C0EA5 is related to or competes with Cincinnati Financial, Aspen Insurance, United Fire, Dave Busters, Kinsale Capital, Zedge, and BCE. More

6325C0EA5 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 6325C0EA5's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess NAB 4891583 12 JAN 25 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

6325C0EA5 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 6325C0EA5's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 6325C0EA5's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 6325C0EA5 historical prices to predict the future 6325C0EA5's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
98.3298.6398.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
90.8091.11108.49
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
98.0098.3198.62
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
98.8999.84100.79
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 6325C0EA5. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 6325C0EA5's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 6325C0EA5's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in NAB 4891583 12.

NAB 4891583 12 Backtested Returns

NAB 4891583 12 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.23, which signifies that the bond had a -0.23% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. 6325C0EA5 exposes nineteen different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 6325C0EA5's Mean Deviation of 0.0934, market risk adjusted performance of 0.9808, and Information Ratio of (0.21) to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The entity owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.0332, which signifies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning 6325C0EA5 are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, 6325C0EA5 is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  -92,233,720,368,547,760  

Near perfect reversele predictability

NAB 4891583 12 JAN 25 has near perfect reversele predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 6325C0EA5 time series from 20th of November 2024 to 5th of December 2024 and 5th of December 2024 to 20th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of NAB 4891583 12 price movement. The serial correlation of -9.223372036854776E16 indicates that 9.223372036854776E16% of current 6325C0EA5 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-92233.7 T
Spearman Rank Test0.5
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.0

NAB 4891583 12 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 6325C0EA5 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 6325C0EA5's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 6325C0EA5 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 6325C0EA5 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

6325C0EA5 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 6325C0EA5 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 6325C0EA5 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 6325C0EA5 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

6325C0EA5 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 6325C0EA5's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 6325C0EA5 bond have on its future price. 6325C0EA5 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 6325C0EA5 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 6325C0EA5 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in NAB 4891583 12 JAN 25.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 6325C0EA5 Bond

6325C0EA5 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 6325C0EA5 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 6325C0EA5 with respect to the benefits of owning 6325C0EA5 security.