PHILIP MORRIS INTL Market Value
| 718172AC3 | 105.04 2.80 2.60% |
| Symbol | PHILIP |
PHILIP 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to PHILIP's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of PHILIP.
| 09/23/2024 |
| 12/22/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in PHILIP on September 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding PHILIP MORRIS INTL or generate 0.0% return on investment in PHILIP over 90 days. PHILIP is related to or competes with 00108WAF7, 90331HPL1, Brightsphere Investment, Neurocrine Biosciences, Alphabet, Saipem SpA, and Bristol Myers. More
PHILIP Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure PHILIP's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess PHILIP MORRIS INTL upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.03) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 32.05 | |||
| Value At Risk | (3.46) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.07 |
PHILIP Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for PHILIP's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as PHILIP's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use PHILIP historical prices to predict the future PHILIP's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.01) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.08) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.20) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4345 |
PHILIP MORRIS INTL Backtested Returns
PHILIP MORRIS INTL maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.12, which implies the entity had a -0.12% return per unit of volatility over the last 3 months. PHILIP MORRIS INTL exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check PHILIP's risk adjusted performance of (0.01), and Coefficient Of Variation of (5,327) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The bond holds a Beta of -0.2, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning PHILIP are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, PHILIP is likely to outperform the market.
Auto-correlation | 0.19 |
Very weak predictability
PHILIP MORRIS INTL has very weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between PHILIP time series from 23rd of September 2024 to 7th of November 2024 and 7th of November 2024 to 22nd of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of PHILIP MORRIS INTL price movement. The serial correlation of 0.19 indicates that over 19.0% of current PHILIP price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.19 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.05 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 2.27 |
PHILIP MORRIS INTL lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is PHILIP bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting PHILIP's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of PHILIP returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that PHILIP has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
PHILIP regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If PHILIP bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if PHILIP bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in PHILIP bond over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
PHILIP Lagged Returns
When evaluating PHILIP's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of PHILIP bond have on its future price. PHILIP autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, PHILIP autocorrelation shows the relationship between PHILIP bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in PHILIP MORRIS INTL.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in PHILIP Bond
PHILIP financial ratios help investors to determine whether PHILIP Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in PHILIP with respect to the benefits of owning PHILIP security.