POTOMAC ELEC PWR Market Value

737679DE7   87.14  1.12  1.30%   
POTOMAC's market value is the price at which a share of POTOMAC trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of POTOMAC ELEC PWR investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of POTOMAC ELEC PWR and determine expected loss or profit from investing in POTOMAC over a given investment horizon.
Check out POTOMAC Correlation, POTOMAC Volatility and POTOMAC Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on POTOMAC.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between POTOMAC's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if POTOMAC is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, POTOMAC's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

POTOMAC 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to POTOMAC's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of POTOMAC.
0.00
05/09/2023
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 6 months and 24 days
11/29/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in POTOMAC on May 9, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding POTOMAC ELEC PWR or generate 0.0% return on investment in POTOMAC over 570 days. POTOMAC is related to or competes with 00108WAF7, 90331HPL1, International Business, Intel, Home Depot, Verizon Communications, and Boeing. More

POTOMAC Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure POTOMAC's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess POTOMAC ELEC PWR upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

POTOMAC Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for POTOMAC's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as POTOMAC's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use POTOMAC historical prices to predict the future POTOMAC's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
86.3587.1487.93
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
85.8786.6687.45
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
86.8687.6588.44
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
83.0085.6988.38
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as POTOMAC. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against POTOMAC's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, POTOMAC's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in POTOMAC ELEC PWR.

POTOMAC ELEC PWR Backtested Returns

POTOMAC ELEC PWR maintains Sharpe Ratio (i.e., Efficiency) of -0.0047, which implies the entity had a -0.0047% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. POTOMAC ELEC PWR exposes twenty-eight different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check POTOMAC's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.06, semi deviation of 1.25, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0123 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The bond holds a Beta of 0.0914, which implies not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, POTOMAC's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding POTOMAC is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.33  

Below average predictability

POTOMAC ELEC PWR has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between POTOMAC time series from 9th of May 2023 to 18th of February 2024 and 18th of February 2024 to 29th of November 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of POTOMAC ELEC PWR price movement. The serial correlation of 0.33 indicates that nearly 33.0% of current POTOMAC price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.33
Spearman Rank Test0.22
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance5.94

POTOMAC ELEC PWR lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is POTOMAC bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting POTOMAC's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of POTOMAC returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that POTOMAC has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

POTOMAC regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If POTOMAC bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if POTOMAC bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in POTOMAC bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

POTOMAC Lagged Returns

When evaluating POTOMAC's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of POTOMAC bond have on its future price. POTOMAC autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, POTOMAC autocorrelation shows the relationship between POTOMAC bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in POTOMAC ELEC PWR.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in POTOMAC Bond

POTOMAC financial ratios help investors to determine whether POTOMAC Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in POTOMAC with respect to the benefits of owning POTOMAC security.