USB 2677 27 JAN 33 Market Value

91159HJD3   81.21  5.20  6.02%   
91159HJD3's market value is the price at which a share of 91159HJD3 trades on an exchange. It measures the collective expectations of USB 2677 27 JAN 33 investors about the bond's future performance. With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of USB 2677 27 JAN 33 and determine expected loss or profit from investing in 91159HJD3 over a given investment horizon.
Check out 91159HJD3 Correlation, 91159HJD3 Volatility and 91159HJD3 Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on 91159HJD3.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between 91159HJD3's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 91159HJD3 is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 91159HJD3's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

91159HJD3 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to 91159HJD3's bond what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of 91159HJD3.
0.00
11/11/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
12/11/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in 91159HJD3 on November 11, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding USB 2677 27 JAN 33 or generate 0.0% return on investment in 91159HJD3 over 30 days. 91159HJD3 is related to or competes with United Airlines, Weyco, Hafnia, Saia, LB Foster, Acco Brands, and WiMi Hologram. More

91159HJD3 Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure 91159HJD3's bond current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess USB 2677 27 JAN 33 upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

91159HJD3 Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for 91159HJD3's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as 91159HJD3's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use 91159HJD3 historical prices to predict the future 91159HJD3's volatility.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
80.3581.2182.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
74.5875.4489.33
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
81.5582.4083.26
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
78.5884.2189.83
Details

USB 2677 27 Backtested Returns

USB 2677 27 retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of -0.11, which signifies that the bond had a -0.11% return per unit of price deviation over the last 3 months. 91159HJD3 exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm 91159HJD3's Coefficient Of Variation of (3,084), risk adjusted performance of (0.02), and Variance of 6.91 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. The bond owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of 0.52, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, 91159HJD3's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding 91159HJD3 is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.82  

Excellent reverse predictability

USB 2677 27 JAN 33 has excellent reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between 91159HJD3 time series from 11th of November 2024 to 26th of November 2024 and 26th of November 2024 to 11th of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of USB 2677 27 price movement. The serial correlation of -0.82 indicates that around 82.0% of current 91159HJD3 price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.82
Spearman Rank Test0.04
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2.92

USB 2677 27 lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is 91159HJD3 bond's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting 91159HJD3's bond expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of 91159HJD3 returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that 91159HJD3 has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the bond is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

91159HJD3 regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If 91159HJD3 bond is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if 91159HJD3 bond is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in 91159HJD3 bond over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

91159HJD3 Lagged Returns

When evaluating 91159HJD3's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of 91159HJD3 bond have on its future price. 91159HJD3 autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, 91159HJD3 autocorrelation shows the relationship between 91159HJD3 bond current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in USB 2677 27 JAN 33.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in 91159HJD3 Bond

91159HJD3 financial ratios help investors to determine whether 91159HJD3 Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in 91159HJD3 with respect to the benefits of owning 91159HJD3 security.