Vanguard Gnma Fund Market Value
| VFIJX Fund | USD 9.28 0.03 0.32% |
| Symbol | Vanguard |
Vanguard Gnma 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Vanguard Gnma's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Vanguard Gnma.
| 12/12/2022 |
| 12/01/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Vanguard Gnma on December 12, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Vanguard Gnma Fund or generate 0.0% return on investment in Vanguard Gnma over 720 days. Vanguard Gnma is related to or competes with Vanguard Materials, Vanguard Limited-term, Vanguard Limited-term, Vanguard Global, Vanguard Emerging, Vanguard Market, and Vanguard Market. The fund invests at least 80 percent of its assets in Government National Mortgage Association pass-through certificates... More
Vanguard Gnma Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Vanguard Gnma's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Vanguard Gnma Fund upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.51) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 1.2 | |||
| Value At Risk | (0.54) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.4287 |
Vanguard Gnma Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Vanguard Gnma's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Vanguard Gnma's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Vanguard Gnma historical prices to predict the future Vanguard Gnma's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.04) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.01) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.07) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.4522 |
Vanguard Gnma Backtested Returns
Vanguard Gnma owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0512, which indicates the fund had a -0.0512% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Vanguard Gnma Fund exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate Vanguard Gnma's Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.04), coefficient of variation of (3,089), and Variance of 0.0835 to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of -0.0428, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Vanguard Gnma are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Vanguard Gnma is likely to outperform the market.
Auto-correlation | -0.66 |
Very good reverse predictability
Vanguard Gnma Fund has very good reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Vanguard Gnma time series from 12th of December 2022 to 7th of December 2023 and 7th of December 2023 to 1st of December 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Vanguard Gnma price movement. The serial correlation of -0.66 indicates that around 66.0% of current Vanguard Gnma price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.66 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.36 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.04 |
Vanguard Gnma lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Vanguard Gnma mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Vanguard Gnma's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Vanguard Gnma returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Vanguard Gnma has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Vanguard Gnma regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Vanguard Gnma mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Vanguard Gnma mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Vanguard Gnma mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Vanguard Gnma Lagged Returns
When evaluating Vanguard Gnma's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Vanguard Gnma mutual fund have on its future price. Vanguard Gnma autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Vanguard Gnma autocorrelation shows the relationship between Vanguard Gnma mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Vanguard Gnma Fund.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Other Information on Investing in Vanguard Mutual Fund
Vanguard Gnma financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vanguard Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vanguard with respect to the benefits of owning Vanguard Gnma security.
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